Boise State's offense projected to pull away from Utah Tech

Versus projects Boise State to beat Utah Tech 75-62, a 13-point margin that gives the Broncos a 79 percent win probability in this non-conference game. That gap mirrors the wider one in the ratings: Boise State sits No. 122 in the country, 173 spots ahead of Utah Tech at No. 295.

Boise State's No. 147 scoring offense, graded a B-, lines up well against Utah Tech's No. 277 scoring defense, graded a D+. Still, the Broncos arrive off a home loss, 78-47 to Utah on Nov. 13, which snapped a perfect 2-0 home start. Boise State has won 14 of its last 17 at home overall, and has also dropped 23 spots since the preseason, when it was rated No. 99, even while sitting at 2-1 now.

Utah Tech comes in 0-1 after an 87-60 home loss to Cal Baptist and has slipped two spots since the preseason to No. 295. The Trailblazers do carry a stronger schedule rating, No. 42, but their offense ranks only No. 238 in the country. The last meeting between these two, in December 2024, went to Boise State 90-56.