FCS · Colonial Athletic AssociationConference game
Albany NY projected to edge Campbell despite 18-spot gap in FCS
Albany NY#2852%
Campbell#1048%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Albany NY 52%, Campbell 48% at Albany NY.
Albany NY's win probability against Campbell has swung between 19% and 46% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 40% now.
Albany NY's win probability against Campbell has swung between 24% and 52% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 46% now.
Albany NY's win probability against Campbell has swung between 29% and 58% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.
Versus projects a 27-26 finish with Albany NY as a 52 percent favorite, a one point margin that barely nudges past a coin flip even though the rankings show real separation between these two. That gap between the numbers and the projection is the story here.
Campbell comes in at 7-1 and has rocketed up the Versus FCS board, climbing 99 spots this season to sit at No. 10, graded A overall with an A- offense and A- power rating. The one soft spot is a strength of schedule rank of 106, which tempers how much weight the model puts on that record against a Danes team it still rates as a near even matchup.
Albany NY sits 5-3 and No. 28 in FCS, but its power rating has improved in each of the last four weeks and all three of its losses have come against teams with winning records, evidence the Danes have mostly lost to quality. An A- defense anchors a team that Versus still sees as live at home.
The game counts in the CAA standings, and with Campbell No. 10 and Albany NY No. 28 in FCS, the conference ladder shifts no matter which way this one goes.
Graded within FCS, 128 teams
