Concord's road scoring punch projected to outlast WV Wesleyan

Versus projects a 36-27 Concord win, a nine-point margin that gives the Mountain Lions a 70 percent chance to leave with the result. That projection fits a trend in the data: Concord has actually scored more away from home than it has at home this season, and this game asks it to do exactly that again.

Concord carries a B- overall grade and ranks 80th in D2, built almost entirely on offense. A 51st-ranked, B+-graded attack is doing the heavy lifting, since the defense checks in at 131st in D2 with a D+ grade. The 148th-ranked strength of schedule behind that 5-2 record suggests the offensive numbers haven't been tested much, but Versus still likes the attack to carry the day.

WV Wesleyan is graded D+ across the board, ranked 129th overall, 134th on offense and 125th on defense, and its own schedule rank of 144 shows a similarly light slate. The Bobcats did climb to a season-best 129th in D2 this week, a sign of momentum even inside a 3-5 record.

The game counts in the Mountain East standings, and with Concord's offense traveling well, Versus sees enough scoring to cover the difference between the two teams' defenses.