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FBS · American Athletic ConferenceConference game

Army's ratings edge outweighs Florida Atlantic's better record

Florida Atlantic#65 FBS · 4-1Away23
Projected23-33Army 72% chance to win
Army#82 FBS · 3-2Home33

Florida Atlantic arrives at 4-1 and Army at 3-2, but the records flip once Versus's ratings are applied. The Owls sit 65th in FBS with a power rank of 96, while the Black Knights check in at 82nd overall yet rank 72nd in power, buoyed by a far tougher slate reflected in a strength of schedule rank of 73 compared to Florida Atlantic's 134th.

Florida Atlantic's defense has been its calling card, not allowing more than 17 points in three straight games, part of a start that is its best through five games since 2020 and included a 66-10 rout of Texas Southern, the largest margin of victory in Versus's records for the program. Army counters with its own form, having outscored its recent opponents while going 3-2 over that stretch, and its recent win over Tulane was its first over that opponent since December 2024.

Versus projects Army to win at home 33-23, giving the Black Knights a 72 percent chance against Florida Atlantic's 28. The game counts in the American Athletic Conference standings, and Army's balance, graded C+ on offense and B- on defense, looks like the deciding factor over a Florida Atlantic team whose C- power grade hints at a soft schedule behind the gaudy record.

Florida AtlanticArmy
Overall
81 B-
76 C
Power
72 C-
79 C+
Offense
75 C
78 C+
Defense
69 D+
80 B-

Graded within FBS, 138 teams