Texas-San Antonio projected to hold off Colorado State at home

Versus projects a 33-24 outcome in favor of Texas-San Antonio, with the Roadrunners given a 70 percent chance to win and Colorado State sitting at 30 percent. That nine-point margin lines up with a wide gap in the underlying numbers between two teams that otherwise share identical 2-1 records.

Texas-San Antonio carries a B+ overall grade and sits 43rd in FBS, with a schedule strength ranked 26th that Versus rates as the toughest in the AAC. Colorado State grades out at a C overall and ranks 83rd, with the 93rd-toughest schedule in the division working against it. The Rams also arrive off a loss that snapped a perfect 2-0 start at home this season, a reversal that fits the softer defensive grade Colorado State carries into this one.

This is a non-conference game, with Colorado State representing the Pac-12 Conference and Texas-San Antonio playing out of the American Athletic Conference, so nothing in either league's standings is at stake. The two have met three times since 2015, with Colorado State holding a 2-1 series edge, though the Roadrunners won the most recent meeting in September 2025 by a single point, 17-16. Versus now separates the pair by 40 spots in the FBS rankings, a gap the projection reflects directly.