Midwestern State looks to end six-game skid against West Texas A&M

West Texas A&M has owned this series lately, winning six straight and 7 of the last 10 meetings, and Midwestern State has not beaten the Buffaloes since November 2019 in a set the Buffaloes lead 12-6 since 2007. Versus's model sees that streak in danger this week, projecting Midwestern State to win 33-29 with a 59 percent chance, a reversal from how these games have typically gone.

The case for Midwestern State starts on offense. The Mustangs carry an A- offensive grade, 38th in Division II, built around a group that just posted an 84-17 win over Western New Mexico, its most lopsided margin since September 2022. The concern is a C+ defense ranked 84th, which leaves the door open for West Texas A&M's attack.

West Texas A&M enters 1-2 but has faced the tougher schedule by far, 5th in Division II strength of schedule against Midwestern State's 91st, and both of its losses have come to teams with winning records. The Buffaloes also just won at Angelo State for the first time since October 2018, showing they can still find results on the road. This is a Lone Star Conference matchup, so it carries standings weight for both sides.