Texas-San Antonio chases a fourth straight over Alabama-Birmingham

Texas-San Antonio and Alabama-Birmingham sit even at 4-4 in eight meetings since 2013, but that balance has tilted hard recently. The Roadrunners have won three straight in the series and the Blazers have not beaten them since October 2020, a drought this week's trip to Alabama-Birmingham is unlikely to end if Versus's numbers hold.

The model has Texas-San Antonio 29th in FBS against Alabama-Birmingham at 89th, a 60-spot gap inside the same American Athletic Conference standings this game counts toward. The Roadrunners carry an A- overall grade on an 8-2 record, with a B- offense built for close finishes, they are a perfect 4-0 in one-score games this season. Alabama-Birmingham counters with a C overall grade and a D+ offense, though its C defense has held up enough to produce a 6-4 mark, and the Blazers do their best work at home, averaging 8 more points per game there than on the road.

Versus projects a 29-23 Texas-San Antonio win, giving the Roadrunners a 64 percent chance to cover that margin and extend their series run to four straight. Alabama-Birmingham's home scoring boost and a defense that has limited four straight opponents with winning records keep the Blazers' 36 percent path alive.