FCS · Northeast ConferenceConference game
Stonehill's sturdier defense is the separator against Robert Morris
Stonehill#9450%
Robert Morris#10350%Wk 11 (Nov 8), 2026-27: Stonehill 50%, Robert Morris 50% at Robert Morris.
Stonehill's win probability against Robert Morris has swung between 37% and 58% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 50% now.
Stonehill's win probability against Robert Morris has swung between 43% and 64% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.
Stonehill's win probability against Robert Morris has swung between 49% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.
The clearest gap between these two sits on defense, where Stonehill's B- unit ranks 63rd in FCS compared to Robert Morris's C grade at 81st. Both offenses struggle equally, ranked 100th and 104th, so that defensive difference is likely to be the deciding factor in a game Versus projects as a near-even split, with Stonehill favored 21-20 and both sides carrying a 50 percent win probability.
A shared result from earlier this season backs up the gap. Both teams played New Haven, and Stonehill won that game by 18 points while Robert Morris lost by 11. Stonehill also sits 9 spots ahead of Robert Morris in the FCS divisional rankings, at 94th against 103rd, and Versus lists Stonehill as the No. 2 team in the Northeast Conference entering this one.
Robert Morris enters with its own momentum after beating Duquesne for the first time since November 2019, and the Colonials also own the most recent meeting between these two, a 20-17 win in November 2025. This is a Northeast Conference game and it counts in the standings, with Stonehill at 4-6 and Robert Morris at 5-5 looking to close the season on the right side of a tight conference race.
Graded within FCS, 128 teams
