American Int'l picked to snap a four-game slide against Southern Conn State

Southern Conn State leads this series 13-9 in 22 meetings since 2007, and the Owls have taken the last four outright, with American Int'l without a win in the matchup since October 2023. That history sits oddly next to this week's numbers, where Versus gives American Int'l the slight edge at home, 25-23, with a 55 percent win probability.

Both programs arrive with losing records and nearly identical overall grades of D+, but the paths there differ. Southern Conn State, 4-5 and ranked 129th in Division II, has been outscored on average over its last five games and has swung from a blowout win to a lopsided loss this season, a volatility that makes any projection shaky. Oddly, the Owls have actually scored more per game away from home than at home this season, which could matter with the series on the line this week.

American Int'l, 4-6 and 127th in the division, carries a stronger defensive rank at 98th against Southern Conn State's 117th, even though its offense ranks 130th. The Yellow Jackets have dropped six of their last eight games, so ending the losing streak in this series would be their first sign of traction in weeks.