FCS · Mid-Eastern Athletic ConferenceConference game
Delaware State projected to edge Howard by a single point
Delaware St#7052%
Howard#10148%Wk 11 (Nov 8), 2026-27: Delaware St 52%, Howard 48% at Howard.
Delaware St's win probability against Howard has swung between 35% and 56% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.
Delaware St's win probability against Howard has swung between 41% and 62% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 58% now.
Delaware St's win probability against Howard has swung between 47% and 67% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
Versus projects the Mid-Eastern Conference's meeting between Delaware State and Howard to come down to almost nothing, with the Hornets favored 25-24 and given just a 52 percent win probability. That is as tight a margin as the model produces, even with Delaware State sitting 31 spots ahead of Howard in the FCS rankings at No. 70 to No. 101.
The rank gap shows up in the letter grades, with Delaware State's C+ overall mark well above Howard's D+, and the Hornets carrying a C defense against a D+ unit for the Bison. But Delaware State has needed close finishes to get to 6-4, going 3-1 in one-score games this season, and Howard has shown it can raise its level at home this year, which matters with this one hosted by the Bison.
The two have split recent history, with Delaware State leading the series 11-9 in 20 meetings since 2007 and taking last November's meeting 26-13. As a Mid-Eastern Conference game, this one counts in the standings for both sides, with Delaware State already sitting at No. 2 in the conference and looking to hold that position against a Howard team that has already pulled off an upset of a higher-ranked opponent this season.
Graded within FCS, 128 teams
