Bryant projects a four-point escape against Sacred Heart

Versus gives this one a tight call, Bryant favored 26-22 with a 60 percent win probability, which makes it one of the closer margins on the CAA slate this week. The gap in the season-long numbers is wider than the final score suggests, with Bryant sitting at No. 37 in FCS to Sacred Heart's No. 108, a 71-spot difference that the projection does not fully reflect.

Bryant brings a B+ overall grade and a B- defense, and the Bulldogs have already shown they can beat up, having knocked off a Princeton team ranked 24 spots above their own No. 37 slot this season. That result, along with their No. 4 standing in the CAA, backs up the favorite's role here, even with a C offense that ranks 81st in FCS.

Sacred Heart is the more dangerous underdog than its D overall grade implies. The Pioneers have scored at least 32 points in three straight games, including a season-high 40 against Towson, and they also own an upset of their own, having beaten a Stony Brook team 40 spots ahead of them in the rankings. The two have split their series evenly, 6-6, in 12 meetings since 2009, and this matchup counts in the CAA standings for both sides.