D2 · South Atlantic ConferenceConference game
Home boost pushes Anderson SC past higher-ranked Mars Hill
Anderson SC#8465%
Mars Hill#6435%Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Anderson SC 65%, Mars Hill 35% at Anderson SC.
Anderson SC's win probability against Mars Hill is trending up — from 36% to 53% over the last 6 weeks.
Anderson SC's win probability against Mars Hill is trending up — from 42% to 59% over the last 6 weeks.
Anderson SC's win probability against Mars Hill is trending up — from 48% to 65% over the last 6 weeks.
Versus projects Anderson SC to win this one even though Mars Hill sits 20 spots higher in the Division II rankings at No. 64 to Anderson SC's No. 84. The gap closes once location enters the picture. Anderson SC has shown a clear home scoring advantage this season, and that tendency is doing the heavy lifting in a projection that has the Trojans winning 24-17.
Anderson SC also carries the better power grade of the two, a B against Mars Hill's B-, with a B- offensive grade that outpaces Mars Hill's C-. Mars Hill's calling card is its defense, graded B+ and ranked 49th in Division II, built on a season that saw the Lions climb as high as No. 6 nationally in Division II in Week 6 and post an upset over Carson-Newman, 42 spots above Mars Hill's own ranking.
The game counts in the South Atlantic standings, with Mars Hill at 5-3 and Anderson SC at 4-5 on the year. Mars Hill won the teams' last meeting in September 2025, 21-14, but this year's version leans on Anderson SC's home scoring edge to flip that result.
Graded within D2, 162 teams
