Pace's rating edge outweighs the one-game gap with Southern Conn State

The records say this is close, Pace at 5-3 and Southern Conn State at 4-4, separated by a single game. Versus sees it differently. Pace sits 27 spots higher in the Division II rankings at No. 101 to No. 128, carries a C overall grade against a D plus, and holds advantages in power, offensive and defensive rank as well.

Southern Conn State's season has been built on inconsistency, swinging from a 43-point win to a 34-point loss, and the Owls have actually scored better away from home than they have in their own building this year, an odd split to carry into a game they are hosting.

Pace arrives having had its own four-game winning streak snapped, but the Setters are 3-1 in one-score games and all three of their losses this season have come against teams with winning records, suggesting the floor is higher than the recent result indicates.

Versus projects Pace to win 28-24, giving the Setters a 61 percent chance against Southern Conn State's 39. The game counts in the Northeast-10 standings for both sides.