D3 · Great Northeast Athletic ConferenceNon-conference
Bantams' defense meets its toughest test yet against Monks' offense
St Joseph's MEAway70
Trinity CTHome88Trinity CT#888%St Joseph's ME#4712%Wk 2 (Nov 15), 2026-27: Trinity CT 88%, St Joseph's ME 12% at Trinity CT.
Trinity CT's win probability against St Joseph's ME has swung between 66% and 82% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 78% now.
Trinity CT's win probability against St Joseph's ME has swung between 73% and 87% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 84% now.
Trinity CT's win probability against St Joseph's ME has swung between 79% and 90% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 88% now.
The widest gap in this non-conference game is not the one between the records. St Joseph's ME brings the No. 15 scoring offense in Division III to Trinity CT, which counters with the No. 3 scoring defense in D3, a mismatch Versus flags directly in its head-to-head notes.
St Joseph's ME has climbed 45 spots since the preseason, up to No. 47 in Division III, riding an A+ offense that has carried it to a 2-0 start despite a C+ defense ranked 216th. That split defines the Monks: score first, worry about stops later. Trinity CT has no such tradeoff. Graded A+ across the board and ranked 8th in Division III, the Bantams enter at 2-0 as well, with a defense good enough to blunt almost anything they see.
Trinity CT has won 25 consecutive home games dating to January 2025, and Versus projects that streak continuing here, favoring the Bantams 88-70 with an 88 percent win probability. St Joseph's ME's offense gives it a path to keep the game competitive, but a defense ranked 216th in D3 against this level of competition is the harder problem to solve.
Graded within D3, 406 teams
