D2 · Great Midwest Athletic ConferenceNon-conference
Wayne State MI's rise meets Ashland's slide in a non-conference test
Ashland#9564%
Wayne St MI#7536%Wk 2 (Nov 14), 2026-27: Ashland 64%, Wayne St MI 36% at Ashland.
Ashland's win probability against Wayne St MI has swung between 42% and 51% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 48% now.
Ashland's win probability against Wayne St MI has swung between 50% and 59% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.
Ashland's win probability against Wayne St MI has swung between 58% and 67% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 64% now.
Wayne State MI arrives having climbed 28 spots since the preseason ratings, a stretch that included reaching No. 48 in Division II on Nov. 8, the highest Versus has ever placed the program in records dating to 2022. Ashland has moved the opposite direction, dropping 45 places since the preseason to No. 95 in Division II, 20 spots behind Wayne State MI at No. 75.
This is a non-conference game, with Wayne State MI carrying a 1-1 record after a loss to Walsh at home and a win at Detroit, while Ashland sits at 0-1 following a loss at Wheeling. Versus still favors Ashland by five points, projecting an 80-75 result and giving the home team a 64 percent chance to win, with the Eagles' A- offensive grade and A- power grade outweighing a rough start.
Wayne State MI brings a B+ offensive grade and leads the current series gap in the ratings, but Ashland handled this matchup in their most recent meeting in November 2025, winning 76-64. With both teams still searching for consistency early in the season, this one figures to hinge on which recent trend, Wayne State MI's rise or Ashland's slide, proves more real.
Graded within D2, 295 teams
