D3 · North Coast Athletic ConferenceNon-conference
John Carroll projected to roll past PSU-Harrisburg by 15
PSU-HarrisburgAway70
John CarrollHome85John Carroll#3283%PSU-Harrisburg#7317%Wk 2 (Nov 14), 2026-27: John Carroll 83%, PSU-Harrisburg 17% at John Carroll.
John Carroll's win probability against PSU-Harrisburg has swung between 67% and 81% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 71% now.
John Carroll's win probability against PSU-Harrisburg has swung between 74% and 86% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 78% now.
John Carroll's win probability against PSU-Harrisburg has swung between 80% and 90% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 83% now.
Versus projects John Carroll to beat PSU-Harrisburg 85-70 at home, a 15-point margin that gives the Blue Streaks an 83 percent chance to win this non-conference meeting. That's a decisive number for a team that enters off a 73-67 loss to Carnegie Mellon, its only defeat so far.
John Carroll carries the top Versus rating in the NCAC and an A+ offense ranked 5th in Division III, built on an A+ grade in that category. Still, the program has slid 11 spots in the Division III rankings this season, dropping from No. 21 in the preseason to No. 32, and its defense sits further back at No. 63.
PSU-Harrisburg, meanwhile, is unbeaten at 2-0 and has won its last two games. Versus grades the Lions a defense-first team, with an A defense ranked 38th in Division III far outpacing a B offense ranked 149th. That defense has helped push PSU-Harrisburg to No. 73, the highest Versus has ever placed the program.
John Carroll leads the series 3-0 since 2023 and sits 41 spots ahead of PSU-Harrisburg in the current Division III rankings, a gap the projection expects to hold up on the scoreboard.
Graded within D3, 406 teams
