Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Washington
Minnesota
|
85
B
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
80
B-
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
68
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Washington
6099
Minnesota
6099
|
||
|
93
A-
6099
|
Defensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Washington
6099
Minnesota
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
60
D-
|
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
Washington
Minnesota
| 6 | Overall | 3 |
| 8 | Power | 3 |
| 12 | Offensive | 4 |
| 3 | Defensive | 4 |
| 14 | SoS (Current) | 15 |
| 14 | SoS (Full Season) | 15 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Minnesota 61%, Washington 39% at Washington.
Minnesota's win probability against Washington has held at 61% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Minnesota's win probability against Washington has held at 65% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Minnesota's win probability against Washington has held at 70% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Washington | Neutral | At Minnesota |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 72% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 1 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 2 | 79% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 3 | 87% | 90% | 91% |
| Wk 4 | 85% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 5 | 89% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 6 | 90% | 92% | 93% |
| Wk 7 | 83% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 8 | 79% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 9 | 77% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 10 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 11 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 12 | 72% | 76% | 79% |
| Wk 13 | 69% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 14 | 68% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 15 | 69% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 16 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 17 | 65% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 18 | 65% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 19 | 62% | 67% | 71% |
| Wk 20 | 61% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 21 | 60% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 22 | 60% | 65% | 69% |
| Wk 23 | 60% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 24 | 61% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 25 | 61% | 65% | 70% |
Washington
Minnesota
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
28-18 (60.9%) |
Overall |
33-13 (71.7%) |
|
15-8 (65.2%) |
Home |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
13-10 (56.5%) |
Away |
18-5 (78.3%) |
|
7-10 (41.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
8-5 (61.5%) |
|
10-13 (43.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-10 (60%) |
|
18-5 (78.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-3 (85.7%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Washington
Minnesota
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #13 Connecticut |
| 30 pts vs #12 Chicago | Largest MOV | 34 pts vs #10 Phoenix |
| 32 pts vs #2 Atlanta | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #5 Indiana |
Washington
Minnesota
| 83.7 | Points per Game | 90.1 |
| 83.2 | Points Against | 83.9 |
| 85.1 | Home PPG | 91.5 |
| 83.4 | Home PA | 85.2 |
| 82.2 | Away PPG | 88.6 |
| 82.9 | Away PA | 82.6 |
| 1073-1105 | Opponent Record | 1086-1097 |
| 8.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 8.2 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Washington
Minnesota
| Sep 30 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L75-93 | Sep 29 | at New York (29-21) | L71-87 |
| Sep 27 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L77-92 | Sep 27 | vs New York (29-21) | L75-91 |
| Sep 24 | vs Chicago (16-28) | W101-93 | Sep 24 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | W86-66 |
| Sep 22 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W79-69 | Sep 22 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | L77-96 |
| Sep 20 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | W93-77 | Sep 20 | at Connecticut (11-33) | W101-89 |
| Sep 17 | at Chicago (16-28) | W110-80 | Sep 18 | vs New York (29-21) | L81-93 |
| Aug 28 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L82-88 | Aug 30 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L81-89 |
| Aug 27 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W80-73 | Aug 24 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L66-80 |
| Aug 25 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W94-84 | Aug 21 | at Washington (28-18) | W94-84 |
| Aug 23 | at Portland (17-27) | W105-100 | Aug 19 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | W77-66 |