Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Chicago
Washington
|
68
D+
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
74
C
|
Power |
80
B-
|
|
80
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
68
D+
6099
|
|
Chicago
6099
Washington
6099
|
||
|
68
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
93
A-
6099
|
|
Chicago
6099
Washington
6099
|
||
|
71
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
63
D-
|
|
71
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
63
D-
|
Chicago
Washington
| 12 | Overall | 6 |
| 10 | Power | 8 |
| 8 | Offensive | 12 |
| 12 | Defensive | 3 |
| 11 | SoS (Current) | 14 |
| 11 | SoS (Full Season) | 14 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Washington 67%, Chicago 33% at Washington.
Washington's win probability against Chicago has held at 58% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Washington's win probability against Chicago has held at 62% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Washington's win probability against Chicago has held at 67% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Chicago | Neutral | At Washington |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 56% | 61% | 65% |
| Wk 1 | 30% | 35% | 39% |
| Wk 2 | 27% | 31% | 36% |
| Wk 3 | 28% | 33% | 37% |
| Wk 4 | 41% | 46% | 51% |
| Wk 5 | 43% | 48% | 53% |
| Wk 6 | 40% | 45% | 50% |
| Wk 7 | 42% | 47% | 52% |
| Wk 8 | 45% | 50% | 55% |
| Wk 9 | 45% | 50% | 55% |
| Wk 10 | 42% | 47% | 52% |
| Wk 11 | 45% | 50% | 55% |
| Wk 12 | 46% | 51% | 56% |
| Wk 13 | 48% | 53% | 58% |
| Wk 14 | 51% | 56% | 61% |
| Wk 15 | 50% | 55% | 60% |
| Wk 16 | 52% | 57% | 62% |
| Wk 17 | 53% | 58% | 63% |
| Wk 18 | 53% | 58% | 63% |
| Wk 19 | 57% | 62% | 66% |
| Wk 20 | 59% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 21 | 58% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 22 | 57% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 23 | 58% | 63% | 67% |
| Wk 24 | 58% | 63% | 67% |
| Wk 25 | 58% | 62% | 67% |
Chicago
Washington
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
16-28 (36.4%) |
Overall |
28-18 (60.9%) |
|
11-11 (50%) |
Home |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
5-17 (22.7%) |
Away |
13-10 (56.5%) |
|
4-11 (26.7%) |
Versus Top 5 |
7-10 (41.2%) |
|
5-20 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-13 (43.5%) |
|
11-8 (57.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-5 (78.3%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Chicago
Washington
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #15 Seattle |
| 30 pts vs #9 Portland | Largest MOV | 30 pts vs #12 Chicago |
| 30 pts vs #6 Washington | Largest MOD | 32 pts vs #2 Atlanta |
Chicago
Washington
| 86.8 | Points per Game | 83.7 |
| 90.7 | Points Against | 83.2 |
| 90.4 | Home PPG | 85.1 |
| 91 | Home PA | 83.4 |
| 83.1 | Away PPG | 82.2 |
| 90.3 | Away PA | 82.9 |
| 1051-1029 | Opponent Record | 1073-1105 |
| 7.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 8.1 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Chicago
Washington
| Sep 24 | at Washington (28-18) | L93-101 | Sep 30 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L75-93 |
| Sep 22 | vs Toronto (11-33) | W97-85 | Sep 27 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L77-92 |
| Sep 19 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L81-106 | Sep 24 | vs Chicago (16-28) | W101-93 |
| Sep 17 | vs Washington (28-18) | L80-110 | Sep 22 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W79-69 |
| Aug 29 | at New York (29-21) | L66-85 | Sep 20 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | W93-77 |
| Aug 25 | at Connecticut (11-33) | L81-87 | Sep 17 | at Chicago (16-28) | W110-80 |
| Aug 23 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | L90-113 | Aug 28 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L82-88 |
| Aug 21 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W73-70 | Aug 27 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W80-73 |
| Aug 18 | vs New York (29-21) | W93-86 | Aug 25 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W94-84 |
| Aug 16 | at Seattle (8-36) | W82-80 | Aug 23 | at Portland (17-27) | W105-100 |