Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Toronto
Washington
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
80
B-
|
|
74
C
6099
|
Offensive |
68
D+
6099
|
|
Toronto
6099
Washington
6099
|
||
|
60
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
93
A-
6099
|
|
Toronto
6099
Washington
6099
|
||
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
63
D-
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
63
D-
|
Toronto
Washington
| 14 | Overall | 6 |
| 14 | Power | 8 |
| 10 | Offensive | 12 |
| 15 | Defensive | 3 |
| 3 | SoS (Current) | 14 |
| 3 | SoS (Full Season) | 14 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Washington 69%, Toronto 31% at Toronto.
Washington's win probability against Toronto is trending up — from 66% to 69% over the last 6 weeks.
Washington's win probability against Toronto is trending up — from 71% to 74% over the last 6 weeks.
Washington's win probability against Toronto is trending up — from 75% to 78% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Toronto | Neutral | At Washington |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 51% | 56% | 60% |
| Wk 1 | 54% | 59% | 64% |
| Wk 2 | 43% | 47% | 52% |
| Wk 3 | 42% | 47% | 52% |
| Wk 4 | 47% | 52% | 57% |
| Wk 5 | 39% | 44% | 49% |
| Wk 6 | 46% | 51% | 56% |
| Wk 7 | 43% | 48% | 53% |
| Wk 8 | 46% | 51% | 56% |
| Wk 9 | 46% | 51% | 56% |
| Wk 10 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 11 | 55% | 60% | 64% |
| Wk 12 | 58% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 13 | 61% | 66% | 70% |
| Wk 14 | 62% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 15 | 62% | 67% | 71% |
| Wk 16 | 64% | 68% | 72% |
| Wk 17 | 64% | 69% | 73% |
| Wk 18 | 64% | 69% | 73% |
| Wk 19 | 66% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 20 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 21 | 69% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 22 | 69% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 23 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 24 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 25 | 69% | 74% | 78% |
Toronto
Washington
|
0-4 (0%) |
Head to Head |
4-0 (100%) |
|
11-33 (25%) |
Overall |
28-18 (60.9%) |
|
7-15 (31.8%) |
Home |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
4-18 (18.2%) |
Away |
13-10 (56.5%) |
|
0-16 (0%) |
Versus Top 5 |
7-10 (41.2%) |
|
1-25 (3.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-13 (43.5%) |
|
10-8 (55.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-5 (78.3%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Toronto
Washington
| #8 New York | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #15 Seattle |
| 28 pts vs #11 Los Angeles | Largest MOV | 30 pts vs #12 Chicago |
| 37 pts vs #8 New York | Largest MOD | 32 pts vs #2 Atlanta |
Toronto
Washington
| 85.7 | Points per Game | 83.7 |
| 94.4 | Points Against | 83.2 |
| 84.3 | Home PPG | 85.1 |
| 91.9 | Home PA | 83.4 |
| 87 | Away PPG | 82.2 |
| 96.9 | Away PA | 82.9 |
| 1092-995 | Opponent Record | 1073-1105 |
| 7.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 8.1 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 8 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Toronto
Washington
| Sep 24 | at Connecticut (11-33) | L81-95 | Sep 30 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L75-93 |
| Sep 22 | at Chicago (16-28) | L85-97 | Sep 27 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L77-92 |
| Sep 20 | vs New York (29-21) | L69-106 | Sep 24 | vs Chicago (16-28) | W101-93 |
| Sep 18 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | L85-103 | Sep 22 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W79-69 |
| Aug 29 | at Phoenix (16-28) | L69-101 | Sep 20 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | W93-77 |
| Aug 28 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L73-93 | Sep 17 | at Chicago (16-28) | W110-80 |
| Aug 26 | at Seattle (8-36) | L78-90 | Aug 28 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L82-88 |
| Aug 23 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L78-88 | Aug 27 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W80-73 |
| Aug 21 | vs Portland (17-27) | W82-79 | Aug 25 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W94-84 |
| Aug 19 | at Washington (28-18) | L82-93 | Aug 23 | at Portland (17-27) | W105-100 |