Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Toronto
Portland
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
77
C+
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
68
D+
|
|
74
C
6099
|
Offensive |
77
C+
6099
|
|
Toronto
6099
Portland
6099
|
||
|
60
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
63
D-
6099
|
|
Toronto
6099
Portland
6099
|
||
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
66
D
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
66
D
|
Toronto
Portland
| 14 | Overall | 9 |
| 14 | Power | 12 |
| 10 | Offensive | 9 |
| 15 | Defensive | 14 |
| 3 | SoS (Current) | 13 |
| 3 | SoS (Full Season) | 13 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Portland 56%, Toronto 44% at Toronto.
Portland's win probability against Toronto is trending up — from 53% to 56% over the last 6 weeks.
Portland's win probability against Toronto is trending up — from 58% to 61% over the last 6 weeks.
Portland's win probability against Toronto has held at 65% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Toronto | Neutral | At Portland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 36% | 41% | 46% |
| Wk 1 | 40% | 45% | 50% |
| Wk 2 | 24% | 28% | 32% |
| Wk 3 | 39% | 44% | 48% |
| Wk 4 | 43% | 48% | 53% |
| Wk 5 | 35% | 40% | 45% |
| Wk 6 | 44% | 49% | 54% |
| Wk 7 | 29% | 33% | 38% |
| Wk 8 | 31% | 36% | 41% |
| Wk 9 | 34% | 39% | 43% |
| Wk 10 | 43% | 48% | 53% |
| Wk 11 | 46% | 51% | 56% |
| Wk 12 | 46% | 51% | 56% |
| Wk 13 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 14 | 50% | 55% | 60% |
| Wk 15 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 16 | 52% | 57% | 62% |
| Wk 17 | 54% | 58% | 63% |
| Wk 18 | 54% | 58% | 63% |
| Wk 19 | 53% | 58% | 63% |
| Wk 20 | 56% | 61% | 66% |
| Wk 21 | 56% | 61% | 66% |
| Wk 22 | 56% | 61% | 65% |
| Wk 23 | 56% | 61% | 66% |
| Wk 24 | 56% | 61% | 65% |
| Wk 25 | 56% | 61% | 65% |
Toronto
Portland
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
11-33 (25%) |
Overall |
17-27 (38.6%) |
|
7-15 (31.8%) |
Home |
9-13 (40.9%) |
|
4-18 (18.2%) |
Away |
8-14 (36.4%) |
|
0-16 (0%) |
Versus Top 5 |
4-12 (25%) |
|
1-25 (3.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-17 (32%) |
|
10-8 (55.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-10 (47.4%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
Toronto
Portland
| #8 New York | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #14 Toronto |
| 28 pts vs #11 Los Angeles | Largest MOV | 19 pts vs #6 Washington |
| 37 pts vs #8 New York | Largest MOD | 33 pts vs #3 Minnesota |
Toronto
Portland
| 85.7 | Points per Game | 86.2 |
| 94.4 | Points Against | 91 |
| 84.3 | Home PPG | 87.5 |
| 91.9 | Home PA | 90.8 |
| 87 | Away PPG | 84.9 |
| 96.9 | Away PA | 91.3 |
| 1092-995 | Opponent Record | 1056-1030 |
| 7.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.9 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 8 | Current Streak | W 1 |
Toronto
Portland
| Sep 24 | at Connecticut (11-33) | L81-95 | Sep 22 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W90-82 |
| Sep 22 | at Chicago (16-28) | L85-97 | Sep 20 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L84-105 |
| Sep 20 | vs New York (29-21) | L69-106 | Sep 18 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L66-82 |
| Sep 18 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | L85-103 | Sep 17 | vs Phoenix (16-28) | L91-94 |
| Aug 29 | at Phoenix (16-28) | L69-101 | Aug 30 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L69-86 |
| Aug 28 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L73-93 | Aug 28 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W101-83 |
| Aug 26 | at Seattle (8-36) | L78-90 | Aug 25 | at Dallas (28-19) | L78-96 |
| Aug 23 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L78-88 | Aug 23 | vs Washington (28-18) | L100-105 |
| Aug 21 | vs Portland (17-27) | W82-79 | Aug 21 | at Toronto (11-33) | L79-82 |
| Aug 19 | at Washington (28-18) | L82-93 | Aug 16 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W88-85 |