Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Toronto
Minnesota
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
74
C
6099
|
Offensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Toronto
6099
Minnesota
6099
|
||
|
60
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Toronto
6099
Minnesota
6099
|
||
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
60
D-
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
Toronto
Minnesota
| 14 | Overall | 3 |
| 14 | Power | 3 |
| 10 | Offensive | 4 |
| 15 | Defensive | 4 |
| 3 | SoS (Current) | 15 |
| 3 | SoS (Full Season) | 15 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Minnesota 82%, Toronto 18% at Toronto.
Minnesota's win probability against Toronto has held at 82% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Minnesota's win probability against Toronto has held at 85% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Minnesota's win probability against Toronto has held at 87% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Toronto | Neutral | At Minnesota |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 77% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 1 | 78% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 2 | 78% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 3 | 85% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 4 | 86% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 5 | 86% | 89% | 91% |
| Wk 6 | 90% | 92% | 93% |
| Wk 7 | 82% | 85% | 87% |
| Wk 8 | 80% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 9 | 78% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 10 | 79% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 11 | 79% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 12 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 13 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 14 | 82% | 85% | 87% |
| Wk 15 | 82% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 16 | 82% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 17 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 18 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 19 | 80% | 84% | 86% |
| Wk 20 | 82% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 21 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 22 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 23 | 82% | 85% | 87% |
| Wk 24 | 82% | 85% | 87% |
| Wk 25 | 82% | 85% | 87% |
Toronto
Minnesota
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
11-33 (25%) |
Overall |
33-13 (71.7%) |
|
7-15 (31.8%) |
Home |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
4-18 (18.2%) |
Away |
18-5 (78.3%) |
|
0-16 (0%) |
Versus Top 5 |
8-5 (61.5%) |
|
1-25 (3.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-10 (60%) |
|
10-8 (55.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-3 (85.7%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Toronto
Minnesota
| #8 New York | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #13 Connecticut |
| 28 pts vs #11 Los Angeles | Largest MOV | 34 pts vs #10 Phoenix |
| 37 pts vs #8 New York | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #5 Indiana |
Toronto
Minnesota
| 85.7 | Points per Game | 90.1 |
| 94.4 | Points Against | 83.9 |
| 84.3 | Home PPG | 91.5 |
| 91.9 | Home PA | 85.2 |
| 87 | Away PPG | 88.6 |
| 96.9 | Away PA | 82.6 |
| 1092-995 | Opponent Record | 1086-1097 |
| 7.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 8.2 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 8 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Toronto
Minnesota
| Sep 24 | at Connecticut (11-33) | L81-95 | Sep 29 | at New York (29-21) | L71-87 |
| Sep 22 | at Chicago (16-28) | L85-97 | Sep 27 | vs New York (29-21) | L75-91 |
| Sep 20 | vs New York (29-21) | L69-106 | Sep 24 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | W86-66 |
| Sep 18 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | L85-103 | Sep 22 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | L77-96 |
| Aug 29 | at Phoenix (16-28) | L69-101 | Sep 20 | at Connecticut (11-33) | W101-89 |
| Aug 28 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L73-93 | Sep 18 | vs New York (29-21) | L81-93 |
| Aug 26 | at Seattle (8-36) | L78-90 | Aug 30 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L81-89 |
| Aug 23 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L78-88 | Aug 24 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L66-80 |
| Aug 21 | vs Portland (17-27) | W82-79 | Aug 21 | at Washington (28-18) | W94-84 |
| Aug 19 | at Washington (28-18) | L82-93 | Aug 19 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | W77-66 |