Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Toronto
Indiana
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
74
C
6099
|
Offensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Toronto
6099
Indiana
6099
|
||
|
60
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
71
C-
6099
|
|
Toronto
6099
Indiana
6099
|
||
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
74
C
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
74
C
|
Toronto
Indiana
| 14 | Overall | 5 |
| 14 | Power | 5 |
| 10 | Offensive | 1 |
| 15 | Defensive | 11 |
| 3 | SoS (Current) | 10 |
| 3 | SoS (Full Season) | 10 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Indiana 80%, Toronto 20% at Toronto.
Indiana's win probability against Toronto has held at 80% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Toronto has held at 83% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Toronto has held at 86% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Toronto | Neutral | At Indiana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Wk 1 | 59% | 64% | 68% |
| Wk 2 | 66% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 3 | 70% | 75% | 78% |
| Wk 4 | 66% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 5 | 58% | 63% | 68% |
| Wk 6 | 69% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 7 | 59% | 64% | 68% |
| Wk 8 | 63% | 68% | 72% |
| Wk 9 | 63% | 68% | 72% |
| Wk 10 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 11 | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Wk 12 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 13 | 77% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 14 | 78% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 15 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 16 | 78% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 17 | 78% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 18 | 78% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 19 | 78% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 20 | 80% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 21 | 79% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 22 | 79% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 23 | 80% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 24 | 80% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 25 | 80% | 83% | 86% |
Toronto
Indiana
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
11-33 (25%) |
Overall |
29-18 (61.7%) |
|
7-15 (31.8%) |
Home |
16-7 (69.6%) |
|
4-18 (18.2%) |
Away |
13-11 (54.2%) |
|
0-16 (0%) |
Versus Top 5 |
7-9 (43.8%) |
|
1-25 (3.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
11-15 (42.3%) |
|
10-8 (55.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-3 (85.7%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Toronto
Indiana
| #8 New York | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #11 Los Angeles |
| 28 pts vs #11 Los Angeles | Largest MOV | 35 pts vs #13 Connecticut |
| 37 pts vs #8 New York | Largest MOD | 20 pts vs #3 Minnesota |
Toronto
Indiana
| 85.7 | Points per Game | 95.5 |
| 94.4 | Points Against | 90.7 |
| 84.3 | Home PPG | 99.1 |
| 91.9 | Home PA | 90.5 |
| 87 | Away PPG | 92.1 |
| 96.9 | Away PA | 91 |
| 1092-995 | Opponent Record | 1138-1097 |
| 7.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.8 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 8 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Toronto
Indiana
| Sep 24 | at Connecticut (11-33) | L81-95 | Oct 1 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L83-94 |
| Sep 22 | at Chicago (16-28) | L85-97 | Sep 29 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W99-89 |
| Sep 20 | vs New York (29-21) | L69-106 | Sep 27 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L85-102 |
| Sep 18 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | L85-103 | Sep 24 | at #3 Minnesota (33-13) | L66-86 |
| Aug 29 | at Phoenix (16-28) | L69-101 | Sep 22 | vs #3 Minnesota (33-13) | W96-77 |
| Aug 28 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L73-93 | Sep 20 | vs Washington (28-18) | L77-93 |
| Aug 26 | at Seattle (8-36) | L78-90 | Sep 18 | at Toronto (11-33) | W103-85 |
| Aug 23 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L78-88 | Aug 28 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W111-91 |
| Aug 21 | vs Portland (17-27) | W82-79 | Aug 23 | at Chicago (16-28) | W113-90 |
| Aug 19 | at Washington (28-18) | L82-93 | Aug 22 | at New York (29-21) | L102-109 |