Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Toronto
Golden State
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
74
C
6099
|
Offensive |
63
D-
6099
|
|
Toronto
6099
Golden State
6099
|
||
|
60
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Toronto
6099
Golden State
6099
|
||
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
96
A
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
96
A
|
Toronto
Golden State
| 14 | Overall | 1 |
| 14 | Power | 2 |
| 10 | Offensive | 14 |
| 15 | Defensive | 1 |
| 3 | SoS (Current) | 2 |
| 3 | SoS (Full Season) | 2 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Golden State 83%, Toronto 17% at Toronto.
Golden State's win probability against Toronto has held at 83% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Golden State's win probability against Toronto has held at 86% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Golden State's win probability against Toronto has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Toronto | Neutral | At Golden State |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 68% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 1 | 77% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 2 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 3 | 74% | 78% | 81% |
| Wk 4 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 5 | 64% | 69% | 73% |
| Wk 6 | 77% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 7 | 69% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 8 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 9 | 73% | 77% | 80% |
| Wk 10 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 11 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 12 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 13 | 79% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 14 | 80% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 15 | 78% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 16 | 82% | 85% | 87% |
| Wk 17 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 18 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 19 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 20 | 82% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 21 | 83% | 86% | 88% |
| Wk 22 | 83% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 23 | 84% | 87% | 89% |
| Wk 24 | 83% | 86% | 88% |
| Wk 25 | 83% | 86% | 88% |
Toronto
Golden State
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
11-33 (25%) |
Overall |
40-16 (71.4%) |
|
7-15 (31.8%) |
Home |
23-6 (79.3%) |
|
4-18 (18.2%) |
Away |
17-10 (63%) |
|
0-16 (0%) |
Versus Top 5 |
12-10 (54.5%) |
|
1-25 (3.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
22-12 (64.7%) |
|
10-8 (55.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-4 (81.8%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Toronto
Golden State
| #8 New York | Best Win | #2 Atlanta |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #12 Chicago |
| 28 pts vs #11 Los Angeles | Largest MOV | 27 pts vs #13 Connecticut |
| 37 pts vs #8 New York | Largest MOD | 26 pts vs #2 Atlanta |
Toronto
Golden State
| 85.7 | Points per Game | 81.1 |
| 94.4 | Points Against | 75.4 |
| 84.3 | Home PPG | 80.9 |
| 91.9 | Home PA | 73.6 |
| 87 | Away PPG | 81.3 |
| 96.9 | Away PA | 77.3 |
| 1092-995 | Opponent Record | 1400-1264 |
| 7.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.4 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 8 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Toronto
Golden State
| Sep 24 | at Connecticut (11-33) | L81-95 | Oct 29 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L69-80 |
| Sep 22 | at Chicago (16-28) | L85-97 | Oct 26 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W64-55 |
| Sep 20 | vs New York (29-21) | L69-106 | Oct 24 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W67-62 |
| Sep 18 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | L85-103 | Oct 21 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L71-97 |
| Aug 29 | at Phoenix (16-28) | L69-101 | Oct 19 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L65-79 |
| Aug 28 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L73-93 | Oct 17 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W68-64 |
| Aug 26 | at Seattle (8-36) | L78-90 | Oct 9 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W87-77 |
| Aug 23 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L78-88 | Oct 7 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W83-81 |
| Aug 21 | vs Portland (17-27) | W82-79 | Oct 4 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W71-60 |
| Aug 19 | at Washington (28-18) | L82-93 | Oct 2 | vs Dallas (28-19) | W77-73 |