Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Toronto
Connecticut
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
66
D
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
60
D-
|
|
74
C
6099
|
Offensive |
60
D-
6099
|
|
Toronto
6099
Connecticut
6099
|
||
|
60
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
77
C+
6099
|
|
Toronto
6099
Connecticut
6099
|
||
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
82
B-
|
Toronto
Connecticut
| 14 | Overall | 13 |
| 14 | Power | 15 |
| 10 | Offensive | 15 |
| 15 | Defensive | 9 |
| 3 | SoS (Current) | 7 |
| 3 | SoS (Full Season) | 7 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Toronto 57%, Connecticut 43% at Toronto.
Toronto's win probability against Connecticut is trending down — from 51% to 47% over the last 6 weeks.
Toronto's win probability against Connecticut is trending down — from 56% to 52% over the last 6 weeks.
Toronto's win probability against Connecticut is trending down — from 61% to 57% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Connecticut | Neutral | At Toronto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 59% | 64% | 68% |
| Wk 1 | 80% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 2 | 82% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 3 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 4 | 76% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 5 | 74% | 78% | 81% |
| Wk 6 | 65% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 7 | 62% | 67% | 71% |
| Wk 8 | 59% | 64% | 68% |
| Wk 9 | 54% | 59% | 64% |
| Wk 10 | 48% | 53% | 58% |
| Wk 11 | 50% | 55% | 60% |
| Wk 12 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 13 | 48% | 53% | 57% |
| Wk 14 | 51% | 56% | 61% |
| Wk 15 | 51% | 56% | 61% |
| Wk 16 | 50% | 55% | 60% |
| Wk 17 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 18 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 19 | 51% | 56% | 61% |
| Wk 20 | 46% | 51% | 56% |
| Wk 21 | 46% | 51% | 56% |
| Wk 22 | 46% | 51% | 56% |
| Wk 23 | 46% | 51% | 56% |
| Wk 24 | 47% | 52% | 56% |
| Wk 25 | 47% | 52% | 57% |
Toronto
Connecticut
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Head to Head |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
11-33 (25%) |
Overall |
11-33 (25%) |
|
7-15 (31.8%) |
Home |
8-14 (36.4%) |
|
4-18 (18.2%) |
Away |
3-19 (13.6%) |
|
0-16 (0%) |
Versus Top 5 |
1-14 (6.7%) |
|
1-25 (3.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-23 (8%) |
|
10-8 (55.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-10 (47.4%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
2-8 (20%) |
Toronto
Connecticut
| #8 New York | Best Win | #3 Minnesota |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #15 Seattle |
| 28 pts vs #11 Los Angeles | Largest MOV | 29 pts vs #12 Chicago |
| 37 pts vs #8 New York | Largest MOD | 44 pts vs #2 Atlanta |
Toronto
Connecticut
| 85.7 | Points per Game | 78.9 |
| 94.4 | Points Against | 88.1 |
| 84.3 | Home PPG | 80.8 |
| 91.9 | Home PA | 85.3 |
| 87 | Away PPG | 76.9 |
| 96.9 | Away PA | 90.8 |
| 1092-995 | Opponent Record | 1070-1006 |
| 7.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.7 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | L 7 |
| L 8 | Current Streak | W 1 |
Toronto
Connecticut
| Sep 24 | at Connecticut (11-33) | L81-95 | Sep 24 | vs Toronto (11-33) | W95-81 |
| Sep 22 | at Chicago (16-28) | L85-97 | Sep 22 | at Washington (28-18) | L69-79 |
| Sep 20 | vs New York (29-21) | L69-106 | Sep 20 | vs #3 Minnesota (33-13) | L89-101 |
| Sep 18 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | L85-103 | Sep 17 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L59-103 |
| Aug 29 | at Phoenix (16-28) | L69-101 | Aug 30 | at Dallas (28-19) | L71-97 |
| Aug 28 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L73-93 | Aug 28 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | L91-111 |
| Aug 26 | at Seattle (8-36) | L78-90 | Aug 26 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L64-89 |
| Aug 23 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L78-88 | Aug 25 | vs Chicago (16-28) | W87-81 |
| Aug 21 | vs Portland (17-27) | W82-79 | Aug 22 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L68-77 |
| Aug 19 | at Washington (28-18) | L82-93 | Aug 20 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L78-101 |