Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Portland
Indiana
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
77
C+
6099
|
Offensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Portland
6099
Indiana
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
71
C-
6099
|
|
Portland
6099
Indiana
6099
|
||
|
66
D
|
SoS (Current) |
74
C
|
|
66
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
74
C
|
Portland
Indiana
| 9 | Overall | 5 |
| 12 | Power | 5 |
| 9 | Offensive | 1 |
| 14 | Defensive | 11 |
| 13 | SoS (Current) | 10 |
| 13 | SoS (Full Season) | 10 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Indiana 71%, Portland 29% at Portland.
Indiana's win probability against Portland has held at 71% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Portland has held at 75% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Portland has held at 79% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Portland | Neutral | At Indiana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 81% | 85% | 87% |
| Wk 1 | 64% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 2 | 84% | 87% | 89% |
| Wk 3 | 76% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 4 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 5 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 6 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 7 | 74% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 8 | 76% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 9 | 74% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 10 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 11 | 74% | 78% | 81% |
| Wk 12 | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Wk 13 | 74% | 78% | 81% |
| Wk 14 | 74% | 78% | 81% |
| Wk 15 | 73% | 77% | 80% |
| Wk 16 | 73% | 77% | 80% |
| Wk 17 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 18 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 19 | 72% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 20 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 21 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 22 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 23 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 24 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 25 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
Portland
Indiana
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
17-27 (38.6%) |
Overall |
29-18 (61.7%) |
|
9-13 (40.9%) |
Home |
16-7 (69.6%) |
|
8-14 (36.4%) |
Away |
13-11 (54.2%) |
|
4-12 (25%) |
Versus Top 5 |
7-9 (43.8%) |
|
8-17 (32%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
11-15 (42.3%) |
|
9-10 (47.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-3 (85.7%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Portland
Indiana
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #14 Toronto | Worst Loss | #11 Los Angeles |
| 19 pts vs #6 Washington | Largest MOV | 35 pts vs #13 Connecticut |
| 33 pts vs #3 Minnesota | Largest MOD | 20 pts vs #3 Minnesota |
Portland
Indiana
| 86.2 | Points per Game | 95.5 |
| 91 | Points Against | 90.7 |
| 87.5 | Home PPG | 99.1 |
| 90.8 | Home PA | 90.5 |
| 84.9 | Away PPG | 92.1 |
| 91.3 | Away PA | 91 |
| 1056-1030 | Opponent Record | 1138-1097 |
| 7.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.8 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Portland
Indiana
| Sep 22 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W90-82 | Oct 1 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L83-94 |
| Sep 20 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L84-105 | Sep 29 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W99-89 |
| Sep 18 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L66-82 | Sep 27 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L85-102 |
| Sep 17 | vs Phoenix (16-28) | L91-94 | Sep 24 | at #3 Minnesota (33-13) | L66-86 |
| Aug 30 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L69-86 | Sep 22 | vs #3 Minnesota (33-13) | W96-77 |
| Aug 28 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W101-83 | Sep 20 | vs Washington (28-18) | L77-93 |
| Aug 25 | at Dallas (28-19) | L78-96 | Sep 18 | at Toronto (11-33) | W103-85 |
| Aug 23 | vs Washington (28-18) | L100-105 | Aug 28 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W111-91 |
| Aug 21 | at Toronto (11-33) | L79-82 | Aug 23 | at Chicago (16-28) | W113-90 |
| Aug 16 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W88-85 | Aug 22 | at New York (29-21) | L102-109 |