Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Portland
Dallas
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
82
B-
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
77
C+
6099
|
Offensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Portland
6099
Dallas
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
82
B-
6099
|
|
Portland
6099
Dallas
6099
|
||
|
66
D
|
SoS (Current) |
85
B
|
|
66
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
85
B
|
Portland
Dallas
| 9 | Overall | 7 |
| 12 | Power | 7 |
| 9 | Offensive | 5 |
| 14 | Defensive | 7 |
| 13 | SoS (Current) | 6 |
| 13 | SoS (Full Season) | 6 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Dallas 68%, Portland 32% at Portland.
Dallas' win probability against Portland has held at 68% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Dallas' win probability against Portland has held at 72% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Dallas' win probability against Portland has held at 76% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Portland | Neutral | At Dallas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 62% | 67% | 71% |
| Wk 1 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 2 | 87% | 89% | 91% |
| Wk 3 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 4 | 78% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 5 | 80% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 6 | 79% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 7 | 80% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 8 | 77% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 9 | 78% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 10 | 73% | 77% | 80% |
| Wk 11 | 70% | 75% | 78% |
| Wk 12 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 13 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 14 | 65% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 15 | 66% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 16 | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 17 | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 18 | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 19 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 20 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 21 | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 22 | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 23 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 24 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 25 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
Portland
Dallas
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
17-27 (38.6%) |
Overall |
28-19 (59.6%) |
|
9-13 (40.9%) |
Home |
17-6 (73.9%) |
|
8-14 (36.4%) |
Away |
11-13 (45.8%) |
|
4-12 (25%) |
Versus Top 5 |
5-14 (26.3%) |
|
8-17 (32%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-17 (32%) |
|
9-10 (47.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
20-2 (90.9%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Portland
Dallas
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #14 Toronto | Worst Loss | #10 Phoenix |
| 19 pts vs #6 Washington | Largest MOV | 30 pts vs #4 Las Vegas |
| 33 pts vs #3 Minnesota | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #1 Golden State |
Portland
Dallas
| 86.2 | Points per Game | 89.2 |
| 91 | Points Against | 85.8 |
| 87.5 | Home PPG | 89.6 |
| 90.8 | Home PA | 80.6 |
| 84.9 | Away PPG | 88.9 |
| 91.3 | Away PA | 90.8 |
| 1056-1030 | Opponent Record | 1136-1099 |
| 7.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.7 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Portland
Dallas
| Sep 22 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W90-82 | Oct 2 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L73-77 |
| Sep 20 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L84-105 | Sep 30 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W108-100 |
| Sep 18 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L66-82 | Sep 27 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L80-104 |
| Sep 17 | vs Phoenix (16-28) | L91-94 | Sep 23 | at Seattle (8-36) | W103-91 |
| Aug 30 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L69-86 | Sep 21 | at Phoenix (16-28) | L86-87 |
| Aug 28 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W101-83 | Sep 19 | vs Phoenix (16-28) | W87-82 |
| Aug 25 | at Dallas (28-19) | L78-96 | Sep 17 | vs Los Angeles (16-28) | W97-77 |
| Aug 23 | vs Washington (28-18) | L100-105 | Aug 30 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W97-71 |
| Aug 21 | at Toronto (11-33) | L79-82 | Aug 25 | vs Portland (17-27) | W96-78 |
| Aug 16 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W88-85 | Aug 23 | vs Seattle (8-36) | W92-70 |