Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Connecticut
Portland
|
66
D
|
Overall |
77
C+
|
|
60
D-
|
Power |
68
D+
|
|
60
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
77
C+
6099
|
|
Connecticut
6099
Portland
6099
|
||
|
77
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
63
D-
6099
|
|
Connecticut
6099
Portland
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
66
D
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
66
D
|
Connecticut
Portland
| 13 | Overall | 9 |
| 15 | Power | 12 |
| 15 | Offensive | 9 |
| 9 | Defensive | 14 |
| 7 | SoS (Current) | 13 |
| 7 | SoS (Full Season) | 13 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Portland 67%, Connecticut 33% at Portland.
Portland's win probability against Connecticut has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Portland's win probability against Connecticut has held at 62% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Portland's win probability against Connecticut has held at 67% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Connecticut | Neutral | At Portland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 50% | 55% | 60% |
| Wk 1 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 2 | 63% | 68% | 72% |
| Wk 3 | 77% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 4 | 74% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 5 | 65% | 69% | 73% |
| Wk 6 | 64% | 69% | 73% |
| Wk 7 | 45% | 50% | 55% |
| Wk 8 | 45% | 50% | 55% |
| Wk 9 | 43% | 48% | 53% |
| Wk 10 | 46% | 51% | 56% |
| Wk 11 | 51% | 56% | 61% |
| Wk 12 | 51% | 56% | 60% |
| Wk 13 | 52% | 57% | 62% |
| Wk 14 | 56% | 61% | 66% |
| Wk 15 | 56% | 60% | 65% |
| Wk 16 | 58% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 17 | 57% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 18 | 57% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 19 | 59% | 63% | 68% |
| Wk 20 | 57% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 21 | 57% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 22 | 57% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 23 | 58% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 24 | 57% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 25 | 57% | 62% | 67% |
Connecticut
Portland
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
11-33 (25%) |
Overall |
17-27 (38.6%) |
|
8-14 (36.4%) |
Home |
9-13 (40.9%) |
|
3-19 (13.6%) |
Away |
8-14 (36.4%) |
|
1-14 (6.7%) |
Versus Top 5 |
4-12 (25%) |
|
2-23 (8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-17 (32%) |
|
9-10 (47.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-10 (47.4%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
Connecticut
Portland
| #3 Minnesota | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #14 Toronto |
| 29 pts vs #12 Chicago | Largest MOV | 19 pts vs #6 Washington |
| 44 pts vs #2 Atlanta | Largest MOD | 33 pts vs #3 Minnesota |
Connecticut
Portland
| 78.9 | Points per Game | 86.2 |
| 88.1 | Points Against | 91 |
| 80.8 | Home PPG | 87.5 |
| 85.3 | Home PA | 90.8 |
| 76.9 | Away PPG | 84.9 |
| 90.8 | Away PA | 91.3 |
| 1070-1006 | Opponent Record | 1056-1030 |
| 7.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.9 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
Connecticut
Portland
| Sep 24 | vs Toronto (11-33) | W95-81 | Sep 22 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W90-82 |
| Sep 22 | at Washington (28-18) | L69-79 | Sep 20 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L84-105 |
| Sep 20 | vs #3 Minnesota (33-13) | L89-101 | Sep 18 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L66-82 |
| Sep 17 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L59-103 | Sep 17 | vs Phoenix (16-28) | L91-94 |
| Aug 30 | at Dallas (28-19) | L71-97 | Aug 30 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L69-86 |
| Aug 28 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | L91-111 | Aug 28 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W101-83 |
| Aug 26 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L64-89 | Aug 25 | at Dallas (28-19) | L78-96 |
| Aug 25 | vs Chicago (16-28) | W87-81 | Aug 23 | vs Washington (28-18) | L100-105 |
| Aug 22 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L68-77 | Aug 21 | at Toronto (11-33) | L79-82 |
| Aug 20 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L78-101 | Aug 16 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W88-85 |