Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Phoenix
Las Vegas
|
74
C
|
Overall |
91
A-
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
71
C-
6099
|
Offensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
Phoenix
6099
Las Vegas
6099
|
||
|
80
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Phoenix
6099
Las Vegas
6099
|
||
|
68
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
68
D+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
80
B-
|
Phoenix
Las Vegas
| 10 | Overall | 4 |
| 9 | Power | 4 |
| 11 | Offensive | 2 |
| 8 | Defensive | 5 |
| 12 | SoS (Current) | 8 |
| 12 | SoS (Full Season) | 8 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Las Vegas 68%, Phoenix 32% at Phoenix.
Las Vegas' win probability against Phoenix has held at 68% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Las Vegas' win probability against Phoenix has held at 72% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Las Vegas' win probability against Phoenix has held at 76% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Phoenix | Neutral | At Las Vegas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 57% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 1 | 23% | 27% | 31% |
| Wk 2 | 43% | 48% | 53% |
| Wk 3 | 40% | 45% | 50% |
| Wk 4 | 54% | 58% | 63% |
| Wk 5 | 62% | 67% | 71% |
| Wk 6 | 63% | 68% | 72% |
| Wk 7 | 65% | 69% | 73% |
| Wk 8 | 59% | 64% | 68% |
| Wk 9 | 59% | 64% | 68% |
| Wk 10 | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 11 | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 12 | 66% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 13 | 68% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 14 | 66% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 15 | 66% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 16 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 17 | 60% | 65% | 69% |
| Wk 18 | 64% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 19 | 66% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 20 | 67% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 21 | 68% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 22 | 67% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 23 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 24 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 25 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
Phoenix
Las Vegas
|
1-3 (25%) |
Head to Head |
3-1 (75%) |
|
16-28 (36.4%) |
Overall |
33-18 (64.7%) |
|
7-15 (31.8%) |
Home |
17-8 (68%) |
|
8-13 (38.1%) |
Away |
16-10 (61.5%) |
|
3-13 (18.8%) |
Versus Top 5 |
9-9 (50%) |
|
4-21 (16%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-15 (46.4%) |
|
12-7 (63.2%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
20-3 (87%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Phoenix
Las Vegas
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #14 Toronto | Worst Loss | #12 Chicago |
| 33 pts vs #4 Las Vegas | Largest MOV | 48 pts vs #10 Phoenix |
| 48 pts vs #4 Las Vegas | Largest MOD | 40 pts vs #8 New York |
Phoenix
Las Vegas
| 84.4 | Points per Game | 90.5 |
| 87.6 | Points Against | 85.8 |
| 85.7 | Home PPG | 90.2 |
| 88.2 | Home PA | 85.5 |
| 82.5 | Away PPG | 90.7 |
| 87 | Away PA | 86.2 |
| 1060-1021 | Opponent Record | 1228-1184 |
| 7.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.7 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 3 |
Phoenix
Las Vegas
| Sep 24 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L82-100 | Oct 9 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L77-87 |
| Sep 21 | vs Dallas (28-19) | W87-86 | Oct 7 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L81-83 |
| Sep 19 | at Dallas (28-19) | L82-87 | Oct 4 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L60-71 |
| Sep 17 | at Portland (17-27) | W94-91 | Oct 1 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | W94-83 |
| Aug 29 | vs Toronto (11-33) | W101-69 | Sep 29 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | L89-99 |
| Aug 27 | vs Washington (28-18) | L73-80 | Sep 27 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | W102-85 |
| Aug 25 | vs Washington (28-18) | L84-94 | Sep 24 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W100-82 |
| Aug 22 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L89-99 | Sep 22 | vs Los Angeles (16-28) | W89-79 |
| Aug 16 | vs Portland (17-27) | L85-88 | Sep 20 | vs Seattle (8-36) | W98-77 |
| Aug 11 | Los Angeles (16-28) | W94-87 | Sep 17 | at Seattle (8-36) | W114-77 |