Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Portland
Minnesota
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
77
C+
6099
|
Offensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Portland
6099
Minnesota
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Portland
6099
Minnesota
6099
|
||
|
66
D
|
SoS (Current) |
60
D-
|
|
66
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
Portland
Minnesota
| 9 | Overall | 3 |
| 12 | Power | 3 |
| 9 | Offensive | 4 |
| 14 | Defensive | 4 |
| 13 | SoS (Current) | 15 |
| 13 | SoS (Full Season) | 15 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Minnesota 81%, Portland 19% at Minnesota.
Minnesota's win probability against Portland has held at 74% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Minnesota's win probability against Portland has held at 78% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Minnesota's win probability against Portland has held at 81% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Portland | Neutral | At Minnesota |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 83% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 1 | 82% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 2 | 91% | 93% | 94% |
| Wk 3 | 89% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 4 | 87% | 89% | 91% |
| Wk 5 | 91% | 93% | 94% |
| Wk 6 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 7 | 91% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 8 | 88% | 91% | 92% |
| Wk 9 | 86% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 10 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 11 | 78% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 12 | 80% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 13 | 78% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 14 | 78% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 15 | 79% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 16 | 77% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 17 | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Wk 18 | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Wk 19 | 75% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 20 | 75% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 21 | 72% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 22 | 73% | 77% | 80% |
| Wk 23 | 73% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 24 | 74% | 78% | 81% |
| Wk 25 | 74% | 78% | 81% |
Portland
Minnesota
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
17-27 (38.6%) |
Overall |
33-13 (71.7%) |
|
9-13 (40.9%) |
Home |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
8-14 (36.4%) |
Away |
18-5 (78.3%) |
|
4-12 (25%) |
Versus Top 5 |
8-5 (61.5%) |
|
8-17 (32%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-10 (60%) |
|
9-10 (47.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-3 (85.7%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Portland
Minnesota
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #14 Toronto | Worst Loss | #13 Connecticut |
| 19 pts vs #6 Washington | Largest MOV | 34 pts vs #10 Phoenix |
| 33 pts vs #3 Minnesota | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #5 Indiana |
Portland
Minnesota
| 86.2 | Points per Game | 90.1 |
| 91 | Points Against | 83.9 |
| 87.5 | Home PPG | 91.5 |
| 90.8 | Home PA | 85.2 |
| 84.9 | Away PPG | 88.6 |
| 91.3 | Away PA | 82.6 |
| 1056-1030 | Opponent Record | 1086-1097 |
| 7.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 8.2 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Portland
Minnesota
| Sep 22 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W90-82 | Sep 29 | at New York (29-21) | L71-87 |
| Sep 20 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L84-105 | Sep 27 | vs New York (29-21) | L75-91 |
| Sep 18 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L66-82 | Sep 24 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | W86-66 |
| Sep 17 | vs Phoenix (16-28) | L91-94 | Sep 22 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | L77-96 |
| Aug 30 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L69-86 | Sep 20 | at Connecticut (11-33) | W101-89 |
| Aug 28 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W101-83 | Sep 18 | vs New York (29-21) | L81-93 |
| Aug 25 | at Dallas (28-19) | L78-96 | Aug 30 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L81-89 |
| Aug 23 | vs Washington (28-18) | L100-105 | Aug 24 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L66-80 |
| Aug 21 | at Toronto (11-33) | L79-82 | Aug 21 | at Washington (28-18) | W94-84 |
| Aug 16 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W88-85 | Aug 19 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | W77-66 |