Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Connecticut
Minnesota
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
60
D-
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
60
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
Connecticut
6099
Minnesota
6099
|
||
|
77
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
93
A-
6099
|
|
Connecticut
6099
Minnesota
6099
|
||
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
60
D-
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
66
D
|
Connecticut
Minnesota
| 14 | Overall | 1 |
| 15 | Power | 2 |
| 15 | Offensive | 2 |
| 9 | Defensive | 3 |
| 3 | SoS (Current) | 15 |
| 3 | SoS (Future) | 13 |
Wk 19 (Sep 15), 2026: Minnesota 89%, Connecticut 11% at Minnesota.
Minnesota's win probability against Connecticut has held at 83% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Minnesota's win probability against Connecticut has held at 86% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Minnesota's win probability against Connecticut has held at 89% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Connecticut | Neutral | At Minnesota |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 86% | 89% | 91% |
| Wk 1 | 96% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 2 | 96% | 97% | 97% |
| Wk 3 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 4 | 97% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 5 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 6 | 96% | 97% | 97% |
| Wk 7 | 91% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 8 | 88% | 91% | 92% |
| Wk 9 | 84% | 87% | 89% |
| Wk 10 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 11 | 82% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 12 | 84% | 87% | 89% |
| Wk 13 | 83% | 86% | 88% |
| Wk 14 | 85% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 15 | 86% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 16 | 86% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 17 | 83% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 18 | 83% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 19 | 83% | 86% | 89% |
Connecticut
Minnesota
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
10-30 (25%) |
Overall |
31-9 (77.5%) |
|
7-13 (35%) |
Home |
14-6 (70%) |
|
3-17 (15%) |
Away |
17-3 (85%) |
|
1-12 (7.7%) |
Versus Top 5 |
7-4 (63.6%) |
|
2-20 (9.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
14-6 (70%) |
|
8-10 (44.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
17-3 (85%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Connecticut
Minnesota
| #1 Minnesota | Best Win | #2 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #14 Connecticut |
| 29 pts vs #10 Chicago | Largest MOV | 34 pts vs #12 Phoenix |
| 35 pts vs #4 Atlanta | Largest MOD | 14 pts vs #2 Golden State |
Connecticut
Minnesota
| 79 | Points per Game | 91.3 |
| 87.8 | Points Against | 83.4 |
| 79.7 | Home PPG | 93.2 |
| 84.8 | Home PA | 85.5 |
| 78.2 | Away PPG | 89.5 |
| 90.8 | Away PA | 81.4 |
| 820-786 | Opponent Record | 776-829 |
| 7.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 8.4 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Connecticut
Minnesota
| Aug 30 | at Dallas (24-16) | L71-97 | Aug 30 | at #4 Atlanta (26-14) | L81-89 |
| Aug 28 | at #5 Indiana (26-14) | L91-111 | Aug 24 | vs #2 Golden State (29-11) | L66-80 |
| Aug 26 | vs #2 Golden State (29-11) | L64-89 | Aug 21 | at Washington (24-16) | W94-84 |
| Aug 25 | vs Chicago (15-25) | W87-81 | Aug 19 | at #2 Golden State (29-11) | W77-66 |
| Aug 22 | at Los Angeles (15-25) | L68-77 | Aug 15 | at #3 Las Vegas (27-14) | W92-87 |
| Aug 20 | at #3 Las Vegas (27-14) | L78-101 | Aug 12 | at Portland (16-24) | W85-81 |
| Aug 18 | vs Los Angeles (15-25) | W85-77 | Aug 9 | vs Dallas (24-16) | W103-90 |
| Aug 15 | vs New York (25-16) | L75-82 | Aug 8 | vs #3 Las Vegas (27-14) | W98-87 |
| Aug 13 | vs #4 Atlanta (26-14) | L69-104 | Aug 6 | vs Los Angeles (15-25) | L82-89 |
| Aug 7 | vs Phoenix (14-26) | W75-72 | Aug 2 | vs #5 Indiana (26-14) | W108-100 |
vs
WNBA Basketball