Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 26 (Nov 1), 2026: Phoenix 53%, Los Angeles 47% at a neutral site.
Phoenix's win probability against Los Angeles has held at 48% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Phoenix's win probability against Los Angeles has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Phoenix's win probability against Los Angeles has held at 58% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.