Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Washington
Indiana
|
85
B
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
80
B-
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
68
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Washington
6099
Indiana
6099
|
||
|
93
A-
6099
|
Defensive |
71
C-
6099
|
|
Washington
6099
Indiana
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
74
C
|
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
74
C
|
Washington
Indiana
| 6 | Overall | 5 |
| 8 | Power | 5 |
| 12 | Offensive | 1 |
| 3 | Defensive | 11 |
| 14 | SoS (Current) | 10 |
| 14 | SoS (Full Season) | 10 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Indiana 67%, Washington 33% at Indiana.
Indiana's win probability against Washington has held at 58% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Washington has held at 63% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Washington has held at 67% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Washington | Neutral | At Indiana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 1 | 50% | 55% | 60% |
| Wk 2 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 3 | 73% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 4 | 65% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 5 | 64% | 69% | 73% |
| Wk 6 | 68% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 7 | 61% | 66% | 70% |
| Wk 8 | 62% | 67% | 71% |
| Wk 9 | 62% | 67% | 71% |
| Wk 10 | 64% | 69% | 73% |
| Wk 11 | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 12 | 66% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 13 | 63% | 68% | 72% |
| Wk 14 | 64% | 68% | 72% |
| Wk 15 | 62% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 16 | 63% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 17 | 61% | 66% | 70% |
| Wk 18 | 61% | 66% | 70% |
| Wk 19 | 60% | 65% | 69% |
| Wk 20 | 57% | 62% | 66% |
| Wk 21 | 57% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 22 | 57% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 23 | 58% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 24 | 58% | 63% | 67% |
| Wk 25 | 58% | 63% | 67% |
Washington
Indiana
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Head to Head |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
28-18 (60.9%) |
Overall |
29-18 (61.7%) |
|
15-8 (65.2%) |
Home |
16-7 (69.6%) |
|
13-10 (56.5%) |
Away |
13-11 (54.2%) |
|
7-10 (41.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
7-9 (43.8%) |
|
10-13 (43.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
11-15 (42.3%) |
|
18-5 (78.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-3 (85.7%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Washington
Indiana
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #11 Los Angeles |
| 30 pts vs #12 Chicago | Largest MOV | 35 pts vs #13 Connecticut |
| 32 pts vs #2 Atlanta | Largest MOD | 20 pts vs #3 Minnesota |
Washington
Indiana
| 83.7 | Points per Game | 95.5 |
| 83.2 | Points Against | 90.7 |
| 85.1 | Home PPG | 99.1 |
| 83.4 | Home PA | 90.5 |
| 82.2 | Away PPG | 92.1 |
| 82.9 | Away PA | 91 |
| 1073-1105 | Opponent Record | 1138-1097 |
| 8.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.8 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Washington
Indiana
| Sep 30 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L75-93 | Oct 1 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L83-94 |
| Sep 27 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L77-92 | Sep 29 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W99-89 |
| Sep 24 | vs Chicago (16-28) | W101-93 | Sep 27 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L85-102 |
| Sep 22 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W79-69 | Sep 24 | at #3 Minnesota (33-13) | L66-86 |
| Sep 20 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | W93-77 | Sep 22 | vs #3 Minnesota (33-13) | W96-77 |
| Sep 17 | at Chicago (16-28) | W110-80 | Sep 20 | vs Washington (28-18) | L77-93 |
| Aug 28 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L82-88 | Sep 18 | at Toronto (11-33) | W103-85 |
| Aug 27 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W80-73 | Aug 28 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W111-91 |
| Aug 25 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W94-84 | Aug 23 | at Chicago (16-28) | W113-90 |
| Aug 23 | at Portland (17-27) | W105-100 | Aug 22 | at New York (29-21) | L102-109 |