Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Indiana
Minnesota
|
88
B+
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
88
B+
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
99
A+
6099
|
Offensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Indiana
6099
Minnesota
6099
|
||
|
71
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Indiana
6099
Minnesota
6099
|
||
|
74
C
|
SoS (Current) |
60
D-
|
|
74
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
Indiana
Minnesota
| 5 | Overall | 3 |
| 5 | Power | 3 |
| 1 | Offensive | 4 |
| 11 | Defensive | 4 |
| 10 | SoS (Current) | 15 |
| 10 | SoS (Full Season) | 15 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Indiana 52%, Minnesota 48% at Indiana.
Indiana's win probability against Minnesota has held at 42% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Minnesota has held at 47% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Minnesota has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Minnesota | Neutral | At Indiana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 42% | 47% | 52% |
| Wk 1 | 24% | 29% | 33% |
| Wk 2 | 31% | 36% | 41% |
| Wk 3 | 26% | 30% | 34% |
| Wk 4 | 22% | 25% | 30% |
| Wk 5 | 16% | 19% | 22% |
| Wk 6 | 18% | 21% | 25% |
| Wk 7 | 21% | 25% | 29% |
| Wk 8 | 26% | 30% | 35% |
| Wk 9 | 29% | 33% | 38% |
| Wk 10 | 32% | 37% | 41% |
| Wk 11 | 40% | 45% | 50% |
| Wk 12 | 38% | 43% | 48% |
| Wk 13 | 39% | 44% | 49% |
| Wk 14 | 40% | 45% | 50% |
| Wk 15 | 37% | 42% | 47% |
| Wk 16 | 39% | 44% | 49% |
| Wk 17 | 41% | 46% | 51% |
| Wk 18 | 41% | 46% | 51% |
| Wk 19 | 42% | 47% | 52% |
| Wk 20 | 41% | 46% | 51% |
| Wk 21 | 42% | 47% | 52% |
| Wk 22 | 42% | 47% | 52% |
| Wk 23 | 42% | 47% | 52% |
| Wk 24 | 42% | 47% | 52% |
| Wk 25 | 42% | 47% | 52% |
Indiana
Minnesota
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
29-18 (61.7%) |
Overall |
33-13 (71.7%) |
|
16-7 (69.6%) |
Home |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
13-11 (54.2%) |
Away |
18-5 (78.3%) |
|
7-9 (43.8%) |
Versus Top 5 |
8-5 (61.5%) |
|
11-15 (42.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-10 (60%) |
|
18-3 (85.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-3 (85.7%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Indiana
Minnesota
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #11 Los Angeles | Worst Loss | #13 Connecticut |
| 35 pts vs #13 Connecticut | Largest MOV | 34 pts vs #10 Phoenix |
| 20 pts vs #3 Minnesota | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #5 Indiana |
Indiana
Minnesota
| 95.5 | Points per Game | 90.1 |
| 90.7 | Points Against | 83.9 |
| 99.1 | Home PPG | 91.5 |
| 90.5 | Home PA | 85.2 |
| 92.1 | Away PPG | 88.6 |
| 91 | Away PA | 82.6 |
| 1138-1097 | Opponent Record | 1086-1097 |
| 7.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 8.2 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Indiana
Minnesota
| Oct 1 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L83-94 | Sep 29 | at New York (29-21) | L71-87 |
| Sep 29 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W99-89 | Sep 27 | vs New York (29-21) | L75-91 |
| Sep 27 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L85-102 | Sep 24 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | W86-66 |
| Sep 24 | at #3 Minnesota (33-13) | L66-86 | Sep 22 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | L77-96 |
| Sep 22 | vs #3 Minnesota (33-13) | W96-77 | Sep 20 | at Connecticut (11-33) | W101-89 |
| Sep 20 | vs Washington (28-18) | L77-93 | Sep 18 | vs New York (29-21) | L81-93 |
| Sep 18 | at Toronto (11-33) | W103-85 | Aug 30 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L81-89 |
| Aug 28 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W111-91 | Aug 24 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L66-80 |
| Aug 23 | at Chicago (16-28) | W113-90 | Aug 21 | at Washington (28-18) | W94-84 |
| Aug 22 | at New York (29-21) | L102-109 | Aug 19 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | W77-66 |