Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Indiana
Golden State
|
88
B+
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
93
A-
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
99
A+
6099
|
Offensive |
63
D-
6099
|
|
Indiana
6099
Golden State
6099
|
||
|
66
D
6099
|
Defensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Indiana
6099
Golden State
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Future) |
68
D+
|
Indiana
Golden State
| 5 | Overall | 2 |
| 3 | Power | 1 |
| 1 | Offensive | 14 |
| 13 | Defensive | 1 |
| 14 | SoS (Current) | 7 |
| 9 | SoS (Future) | 12 |
Wk 19 (Sep 15), 2026: Indiana 51%, Golden State 49% at Indiana.
Indiana's win probability against Golden State has held at 41% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Golden State has held at 46% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Golden State has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Golden State | Neutral | At Indiana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 53% | 58% | 62% |
| Wk 1 | 26% | 30% | 35% |
| Wk 2 | 40% | 45% | 50% |
| Wk 3 | 41% | 46% | 51% |
| Wk 4 | 39% | 44% | 49% |
| Wk 5 | 39% | 44% | 49% |
| Wk 6 | 36% | 41% | 46% |
| Wk 7 | 34% | 39% | 44% |
| Wk 8 | 36% | 41% | 46% |
| Wk 9 | 35% | 40% | 44% |
| Wk 10 | 36% | 40% | 45% |
| Wk 11 | 44% | 48% | 53% |
| Wk 12 | 45% | 50% | 55% |
| Wk 13 | 42% | 47% | 52% |
| Wk 14 | 43% | 48% | 53% |
| Wk 15 | 43% | 48% | 53% |
| Wk 16 | 41% | 45% | 50% |
| Wk 17 | 41% | 46% | 51% |
| Wk 18 | 41% | 46% | 51% |
| Wk 19 | 41% | 46% | 51% |
Indiana
Golden State
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
26-14 (65%) |
Overall |
29-11 (72.5%) |
|
14-6 (70%) |
Home |
15-5 (75%) |
|
12-8 (60%) |
Away |
14-6 (70%) |
|
5-6 (45.5%) |
Versus Top 5 |
6-7 (46.2%) |
|
9-11 (45%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
14-8 (63.6%) |
|
17-3 (85%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
15-3 (83.3%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
Indiana
Golden State
| #2 Golden State | Best Win | #1 Minnesota |
| #12 Phoenix | Worst Loss | #12 Phoenix |
| 35 pts vs #14 Connecticut | Largest MOV | 27 pts vs #14 Connecticut |
| 17 pts vs #4 Atlanta | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #3 Las Vegas |
Indiana
Golden State
| 97 | Points per Game | 82.6 |
| 91 | Points Against | 75.4 |
| 100.4 | Home PPG | 83.1 |
| 91.1 | Home PA | 76 |
| 93.7 | Away PPG | 82.2 |
| 90.8 | Away PA | 74.9 |
| 779-828 | Opponent Record | 808-798 |
| 8.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 8 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | W 4 |
Indiana
Golden State
| Aug 28 | vs Connecticut (10-30) | W111-91 | Aug 30 | at Portland (16-24) | W86-69 |
| Aug 23 | at Chicago (15-25) | W113-90 | Aug 27 | at New York (25-16) | W79-60 |
| Aug 22 | at New York (25-16) | L102-109 | Aug 26 | at Connecticut (10-30) | W89-64 |
| Aug 20 | at Dallas (24-16) | L85-91 | Aug 24 | at #1 Minnesota (31-9) | W80-66 |
| Aug 18 | at Toronto (11-29) | W101-95 | Aug 21 | at Chicago (15-25) | L70-73 |
| Aug 16 | at #4 Atlanta (26-14) | W95-91 | Aug 19 | vs #1 Minnesota (31-9) | L66-77 |
| Aug 14 | vs Dallas (24-16) | W98-87 | Aug 17 | vs Dallas (24-16) | W78-70 |
| Aug 11 | vs New York (25-16) | W106-92 | Aug 12 | vs Chicago (15-25) | W91-71 |
| Aug 8 | at Chicago (15-25) | W90-86 | Aug 9 | at Los Angeles (15-25) | W84-78 |
| Aug 6 | vs #3 Las Vegas (27-14) | L84-86 | Aug 7 | at Dallas (24-16) | W94-76 |
vs
WNBA Basketball