Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Dallas
Indiana
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
82
B-
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
88
B+
6099
|
Offensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Dallas
6099
Indiana
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
71
C-
6099
|
|
Dallas
6099
Indiana
6099
|
||
|
85
B
|
SoS (Current) |
74
C
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
74
C
|
Dallas
Indiana
| 7 | Overall | 5 |
| 7 | Power | 5 |
| 5 | Offensive | 1 |
| 7 | Defensive | 11 |
| 6 | SoS (Current) | 10 |
| 6 | SoS (Full Season) | 10 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Indiana 59%, Dallas 41% at Indiana.
Indiana's win probability against Dallas has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Dallas has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Dallas has held at 59% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Dallas | Neutral | At Indiana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 1 | 40% | 45% | 50% |
| Wk 2 | 40% | 44% | 49% |
| Wk 3 | 38% | 43% | 48% |
| Wk 4 | 34% | 38% | 43% |
| Wk 5 | 31% | 36% | 41% |
| Wk 6 | 34% | 38% | 43% |
| Wk 7 | 38% | 43% | 48% |
| Wk 8 | 43% | 48% | 53% |
| Wk 9 | 40% | 45% | 49% |
| Wk 10 | 42% | 47% | 52% |
| Wk 11 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 12 | 51% | 56% | 61% |
| Wk 13 | 52% | 56% | 61% |
| Wk 14 | 55% | 60% | 65% |
| Wk 15 | 53% | 58% | 63% |
| Wk 16 | 52% | 57% | 62% |
| Wk 17 | 51% | 55% | 60% |
| Wk 18 | 50% | 55% | 60% |
| Wk 19 | 50% | 55% | 60% |
| Wk 20 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 21 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 22 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 23 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 24 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 25 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
Dallas
Indiana
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Head to Head |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
28-19 (59.6%) |
Overall |
29-18 (61.7%) |
|
17-6 (73.9%) |
Home |
16-7 (69.6%) |
|
11-13 (45.8%) |
Away |
13-11 (54.2%) |
|
5-14 (26.3%) |
Versus Top 5 |
7-9 (43.8%) |
|
8-17 (32%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
11-15 (42.3%) |
|
20-2 (90.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-3 (85.7%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Dallas
Indiana
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #10 Phoenix | Worst Loss | #11 Los Angeles |
| 30 pts vs #4 Las Vegas | Largest MOV | 35 pts vs #13 Connecticut |
| 24 pts vs #1 Golden State | Largest MOD | 20 pts vs #3 Minnesota |
Dallas
Indiana
| 89.2 | Points per Game | 95.5 |
| 85.8 | Points Against | 90.7 |
| 89.6 | Home PPG | 99.1 |
| 80.6 | Home PA | 90.5 |
| 88.9 | Away PPG | 92.1 |
| 90.8 | Away PA | 91 |
| 1136-1099 | Opponent Record | 1138-1097 |
| 7.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.8 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Dallas
Indiana
| Oct 2 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L73-77 | Oct 1 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L83-94 |
| Sep 30 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W108-100 | Sep 29 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W99-89 |
| Sep 27 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L80-104 | Sep 27 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L85-102 |
| Sep 23 | at Seattle (8-36) | W103-91 | Sep 24 | at #3 Minnesota (33-13) | L66-86 |
| Sep 21 | at Phoenix (16-28) | L86-87 | Sep 22 | vs #3 Minnesota (33-13) | W96-77 |
| Sep 19 | vs Phoenix (16-28) | W87-82 | Sep 20 | vs Washington (28-18) | L77-93 |
| Sep 17 | vs Los Angeles (16-28) | W97-77 | Sep 18 | at Toronto (11-33) | W103-85 |
| Aug 30 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W97-71 | Aug 28 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W111-91 |
| Aug 25 | vs Portland (17-27) | W96-78 | Aug 23 | at Chicago (16-28) | W113-90 |
| Aug 23 | vs Seattle (8-36) | W92-70 | Aug 22 | at New York (29-21) | L102-109 |