Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Washington
Golden State
|
85
B
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
80
B-
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
68
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
63
D-
6099
|
|
Washington
6099
Golden State
6099
|
||
|
93
A-
6099
|
Defensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Washington
6099
Golden State
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
96
A
|
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
96
A
|
Washington
Golden State
| 6 | Overall | 1 |
| 8 | Power | 2 |
| 12 | Offensive | 14 |
| 3 | Defensive | 1 |
| 14 | SoS (Current) | 2 |
| 14 | SoS (Full Season) | 2 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Golden State 71%, Washington 29% at Golden State.
Golden State's win probability against Washington has held at 62% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Golden State's win probability against Washington has held at 67% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Golden State's win probability against Washington has held at 71% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Washington | Neutral | At Golden State |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 63% | 68% | 72% |
| Wk 1 | 69% | 74% | 77% |
| Wk 2 | 72% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 3 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 4 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 5 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 6 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 7 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 8 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 9 | 72% | 76% | 79% |
| Wk 10 | 73% | 77% | 80% |
| Wk 11 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 12 | 66% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 13 | 66% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 14 | 66% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 15 | 63% | 68% | 72% |
| Wk 16 | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 17 | 65% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 18 | 65% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 19 | 64% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 20 | 60% | 65% | 69% |
| Wk 21 | 62% | 67% | 71% |
| Wk 22 | 64% | 68% | 72% |
| Wk 23 | 64% | 69% | 73% |
| Wk 24 | 62% | 67% | 71% |
| Wk 25 | 62% | 67% | 71% |
Washington
Golden State
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
28-18 (60.9%) |
Overall |
40-16 (71.4%) |
|
15-8 (65.2%) |
Home |
23-6 (79.3%) |
|
13-10 (56.5%) |
Away |
17-10 (63%) |
|
7-10 (41.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
12-10 (54.5%) |
|
10-13 (43.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
22-12 (64.7%) |
|
18-5 (78.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-4 (81.8%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Washington
Golden State
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #2 Atlanta |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #12 Chicago |
| 30 pts vs #12 Chicago | Largest MOV | 27 pts vs #13 Connecticut |
| 32 pts vs #2 Atlanta | Largest MOD | 26 pts vs #2 Atlanta |
Washington
Golden State
| 83.7 | Points per Game | 81.1 |
| 83.2 | Points Against | 75.4 |
| 85.1 | Home PPG | 80.9 |
| 83.4 | Home PA | 73.6 |
| 82.2 | Away PPG | 81.3 |
| 82.9 | Away PA | 77.3 |
| 1073-1105 | Opponent Record | 1400-1264 |
| 8.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.4 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Washington
Golden State
| Sep 30 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L75-93 | Oct 29 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L69-80 |
| Sep 27 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L77-92 | Oct 26 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W64-55 |
| Sep 24 | vs Chicago (16-28) | W101-93 | Oct 24 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W67-62 |
| Sep 22 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W79-69 | Oct 21 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L71-97 |
| Sep 20 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | W93-77 | Oct 19 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L65-79 |
| Sep 17 | at Chicago (16-28) | W110-80 | Oct 17 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W68-64 |
| Aug 28 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L82-88 | Oct 9 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W87-77 |
| Aug 27 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W80-73 | Oct 7 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W83-81 |
| Aug 25 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W94-84 | Oct 4 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W71-60 |
| Aug 23 | at Portland (17-27) | W105-100 | Oct 2 | vs Dallas (28-19) | W77-73 |