Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Portland
Golden State
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
77
C+
6099
|
Offensive |
63
D-
6099
|
|
Portland
6099
Golden State
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Portland
6099
Golden State
6099
|
||
|
66
D
|
SoS (Current) |
96
A
|
|
66
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
96
A
|
Portland
Golden State
| 9 | Overall | 1 |
| 12 | Power | 2 |
| 9 | Offensive | 14 |
| 14 | Defensive | 1 |
| 13 | SoS (Current) | 2 |
| 13 | SoS (Full Season) | 2 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Golden State 82%, Portland 18% at Golden State.
Golden State's win probability against Portland has held at 75% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Golden State's win probability against Portland has held at 79% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Golden State's win probability against Portland has held at 82% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Portland | Neutral | At Golden State |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 1 | 80% | 84% | 86% |
| Wk 2 | 87% | 89% | 91% |
| Wk 3 | 79% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 4 | 73% | 77% | 80% |
| Wk 5 | 73% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 6 | 78% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 7 | 82% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 8 | 82% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 9 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 10 | 78% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 11 | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Wk 12 | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Wk 13 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 14 | 76% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 15 | 74% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 16 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 17 | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Wk 18 | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Wk 19 | 76% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 20 | 74% | 78% | 81% |
| Wk 21 | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Wk 22 | 76% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 23 | 77% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 24 | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Wk 25 | 75% | 79% | 82% |
Portland
Golden State
|
1-3 (25%) |
Head to Head |
3-1 (75%) |
|
17-27 (38.6%) |
Overall |
40-16 (71.4%) |
|
9-13 (40.9%) |
Home |
23-6 (79.3%) |
|
8-14 (36.4%) |
Away |
17-10 (63%) |
|
4-12 (25%) |
Versus Top 5 |
12-10 (54.5%) |
|
8-17 (32%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
22-12 (64.7%) |
|
9-10 (47.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-4 (81.8%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Portland
Golden State
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #2 Atlanta |
| #14 Toronto | Worst Loss | #12 Chicago |
| 19 pts vs #6 Washington | Largest MOV | 27 pts vs #13 Connecticut |
| 33 pts vs #3 Minnesota | Largest MOD | 26 pts vs #2 Atlanta |
Portland
Golden State
| 86.2 | Points per Game | 81.1 |
| 91 | Points Against | 75.4 |
| 87.5 | Home PPG | 80.9 |
| 90.8 | Home PA | 73.6 |
| 84.9 | Away PPG | 81.3 |
| 91.3 | Away PA | 77.3 |
| 1056-1030 | Opponent Record | 1400-1264 |
| 7.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.4 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Portland
Golden State
| Sep 22 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W90-82 | Oct 29 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L69-80 |
| Sep 20 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L84-105 | Oct 26 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W64-55 |
| Sep 18 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L66-82 | Oct 24 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W67-62 |
| Sep 17 | vs Phoenix (16-28) | L91-94 | Oct 21 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L71-97 |
| Aug 30 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L69-86 | Oct 19 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L65-79 |
| Aug 28 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W101-83 | Oct 17 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W68-64 |
| Aug 25 | at Dallas (28-19) | L78-96 | Oct 9 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W87-77 |
| Aug 23 | vs Washington (28-18) | L100-105 | Oct 7 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W83-81 |
| Aug 21 | at Toronto (11-33) | L79-82 | Oct 4 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W71-60 |
| Aug 16 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W88-85 | Oct 2 | vs Dallas (28-19) | W77-73 |