Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Indiana
Golden State
|
88
B+
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
88
B+
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
99
A+
6099
|
Offensive |
63
D-
6099
|
|
Indiana
6099
Golden State
6099
|
||
|
71
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Indiana
6099
Golden State
6099
|
||
|
74
C
|
SoS (Current) |
96
A
|
|
74
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
96
A
|
Indiana
Golden State
| 5 | Overall | 1 |
| 5 | Power | 2 |
| 1 | Offensive | 14 |
| 11 | Defensive | 1 |
| 10 | SoS (Current) | 2 |
| 10 | SoS (Full Season) | 2 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Golden State 60%, Indiana 40% at Golden State.
Golden State's win probability against Indiana has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Golden State's win probability against Indiana has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Golden State's win probability against Indiana has held at 60% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Indiana | Neutral | At Golden State |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 38% | 42% | 47% |
| Wk 1 | 65% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 2 | 50% | 55% | 60% |
| Wk 3 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 4 | 51% | 56% | 61% |
| Wk 5 | 51% | 56% | 61% |
| Wk 6 | 54% | 59% | 64% |
| Wk 7 | 56% | 61% | 66% |
| Wk 8 | 54% | 59% | 64% |
| Wk 9 | 56% | 60% | 65% |
| Wk 10 | 55% | 59% | 64% |
| Wk 11 | 47% | 52% | 56% |
| Wk 12 | 45% | 50% | 55% |
| Wk 13 | 48% | 53% | 58% |
| Wk 14 | 47% | 52% | 57% |
| Wk 15 | 47% | 52% | 57% |
| Wk 16 | 50% | 55% | 59% |
| Wk 17 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 18 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 19 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 20 | 49% | 54% | 58% |
| Wk 21 | 50% | 55% | 60% |
| Wk 22 | 52% | 57% | 61% |
| Wk 23 | 52% | 57% | 62% |
| Wk 24 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 25 | 50% | 55% | 60% |
Indiana
Golden State
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
29-18 (61.7%) |
Overall |
40-16 (71.4%) |
|
16-7 (69.6%) |
Home |
23-6 (79.3%) |
|
13-11 (54.2%) |
Away |
17-10 (63%) |
|
7-9 (43.8%) |
Versus Top 5 |
12-10 (54.5%) |
|
11-15 (42.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
22-12 (64.7%) |
|
18-3 (85.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-4 (81.8%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Indiana
Golden State
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #2 Atlanta |
| #11 Los Angeles | Worst Loss | #12 Chicago |
| 35 pts vs #13 Connecticut | Largest MOV | 27 pts vs #13 Connecticut |
| 20 pts vs #3 Minnesota | Largest MOD | 26 pts vs #2 Atlanta |
Indiana
Golden State
| 95.5 | Points per Game | 81.1 |
| 90.7 | Points Against | 75.4 |
| 99.1 | Home PPG | 80.9 |
| 90.5 | Home PA | 73.6 |
| 92.1 | Away PPG | 81.3 |
| 91 | Away PA | 77.3 |
| 1138-1097 | Opponent Record | 1400-1264 |
| 7.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.4 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Indiana
Golden State
| Oct 1 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L83-94 | Oct 29 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L69-80 |
| Sep 29 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W99-89 | Oct 26 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W64-55 |
| Sep 27 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L85-102 | Oct 24 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W67-62 |
| Sep 24 | at #3 Minnesota (33-13) | L66-86 | Oct 21 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L71-97 |
| Sep 22 | vs #3 Minnesota (33-13) | W96-77 | Oct 19 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L65-79 |
| Sep 20 | vs Washington (28-18) | L77-93 | Oct 17 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W68-64 |
| Sep 18 | at Toronto (11-33) | W103-85 | Oct 9 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W87-77 |
| Aug 28 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W111-91 | Oct 7 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W83-81 |
| Aug 23 | at Chicago (16-28) | W113-90 | Oct 4 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W71-60 |
| Aug 22 | at New York (29-21) | L102-109 | Oct 2 | vs Dallas (28-19) | W77-73 |