Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Toronto
Dallas
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
82
B-
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
74
C
6099
|
Offensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Toronto
6099
Dallas
6099
|
||
|
60
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
82
B-
6099
|
|
Toronto
6099
Dallas
6099
|
||
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
85
B
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
85
B
|
Toronto
Dallas
| 14 | Overall | 7 |
| 14 | Power | 7 |
| 10 | Offensive | 5 |
| 15 | Defensive | 7 |
| 3 | SoS (Current) | 6 |
| 3 | SoS (Full Season) | 6 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Dallas 84%, Toronto 16% at Dallas.
Dallas' win probability against Toronto has held at 77% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Dallas' win probability against Toronto has held at 80% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Dallas' win probability against Toronto has held at 84% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Toronto | Neutral | At Dallas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 53% | 58% | 63% |
| Wk 1 | 63% | 68% | 72% |
| Wk 2 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 3 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 4 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 5 | 72% | 76% | 79% |
| Wk 6 | 79% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 7 | 65% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 8 | 65% | 69% | 73% |
| Wk 9 | 68% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 10 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 11 | 71% | 76% | 79% |
| Wk 12 | 71% | 76% | 79% |
| Wk 13 | 72% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 14 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 15 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 16 | 73% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 17 | 74% | 78% | 81% |
| Wk 18 | 74% | 78% | 81% |
| Wk 19 | 75% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 20 | 77% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 21 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 22 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 23 | 77% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 24 | 77% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 25 | 77% | 80% | 84% |
Toronto
Dallas
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
11-33 (25%) |
Overall |
28-19 (59.6%) |
|
7-15 (31.8%) |
Home |
17-6 (73.9%) |
|
4-18 (18.2%) |
Away |
11-13 (45.8%) |
|
0-16 (0%) |
Versus Top 5 |
5-14 (26.3%) |
|
1-25 (3.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-17 (32%) |
|
10-8 (55.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
20-2 (90.9%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Toronto
Dallas
| #8 New York | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #10 Phoenix |
| 28 pts vs #11 Los Angeles | Largest MOV | 30 pts vs #4 Las Vegas |
| 37 pts vs #8 New York | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #1 Golden State |
Toronto
Dallas
| 85.7 | Points per Game | 89.2 |
| 94.4 | Points Against | 85.8 |
| 84.3 | Home PPG | 89.6 |
| 91.9 | Home PA | 80.6 |
| 87 | Away PPG | 88.9 |
| 96.9 | Away PA | 90.8 |
| 1092-995 | Opponent Record | 1136-1099 |
| 7.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.7 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 8 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Toronto
Dallas
| Sep 24 | at Connecticut (11-33) | L81-95 | Oct 2 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L73-77 |
| Sep 22 | at Chicago (16-28) | L85-97 | Sep 30 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W108-100 |
| Sep 20 | vs New York (29-21) | L69-106 | Sep 27 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L80-104 |
| Sep 18 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | L85-103 | Sep 23 | at Seattle (8-36) | W103-91 |
| Aug 29 | at Phoenix (16-28) | L69-101 | Sep 21 | at Phoenix (16-28) | L86-87 |
| Aug 28 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L73-93 | Sep 19 | vs Phoenix (16-28) | W87-82 |
| Aug 26 | at Seattle (8-36) | L78-90 | Sep 17 | vs Los Angeles (16-28) | W97-77 |
| Aug 23 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L78-88 | Aug 30 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W97-71 |
| Aug 21 | vs Portland (17-27) | W82-79 | Aug 25 | vs Portland (17-27) | W96-78 |
| Aug 19 | at Washington (28-18) | L82-93 | Aug 23 | vs Seattle (8-36) | W92-70 |