Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Dallas
Minnesota
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
82
B-
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
88
B+
6099
|
Offensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Dallas
6099
Minnesota
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Dallas
6099
Minnesota
6099
|
||
|
85
B
|
SoS (Current) |
60
D-
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
Dallas
Minnesota
| 7 | Overall | 3 |
| 7 | Power | 3 |
| 5 | Offensive | 4 |
| 7 | Defensive | 4 |
| 6 | SoS (Current) | 15 |
| 6 | SoS (Full Season) | 15 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Minnesota 52%, Dallas 48% at Dallas.
Minnesota's win probability against Dallas has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Minnesota's win probability against Dallas has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Minnesota's win probability against Dallas has held at 62% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Dallas | Neutral | At Minnesota |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 70% | 75% | 78% |
| Wk 1 | 63% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 2 | 54% | 59% | 63% |
| Wk 3 | 59% | 64% | 68% |
| Wk 4 | 60% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 5 | 66% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 6 | 65% | 69% | 73% |
| Wk 7 | 65% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 8 | 64% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 9 | 57% | 62% | 66% |
| Wk 10 | 56% | 60% | 65% |
| Wk 11 | 55% | 60% | 64% |
| Wk 12 | 58% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 13 | 58% | 63% | 67% |
| Wk 14 | 60% | 65% | 69% |
| Wk 15 | 61% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 16 | 57% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 17 | 55% | 60% | 64% |
| Wk 18 | 55% | 60% | 64% |
| Wk 19 | 53% | 58% | 63% |
| Wk 20 | 53% | 58% | 63% |
| Wk 21 | 51% | 56% | 61% |
| Wk 22 | 51% | 56% | 61% |
| Wk 23 | 52% | 57% | 61% |
| Wk 24 | 52% | 57% | 62% |
| Wk 25 | 52% | 57% | 62% |
Dallas
Minnesota
|
0-4 (0%) |
Head to Head |
4-0 (100%) |
|
28-19 (59.6%) |
Overall |
33-13 (71.7%) |
|
17-6 (73.9%) |
Home |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
11-13 (45.8%) |
Away |
18-5 (78.3%) |
|
5-14 (26.3%) |
Versus Top 5 |
8-5 (61.5%) |
|
8-17 (32%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-10 (60%) |
|
20-2 (90.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-3 (85.7%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Dallas
Minnesota
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #10 Phoenix | Worst Loss | #13 Connecticut |
| 30 pts vs #4 Las Vegas | Largest MOV | 34 pts vs #10 Phoenix |
| 24 pts vs #1 Golden State | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #5 Indiana |
Dallas
Minnesota
| 89.2 | Points per Game | 90.1 |
| 85.8 | Points Against | 83.9 |
| 89.6 | Home PPG | 91.5 |
| 80.6 | Home PA | 85.2 |
| 88.9 | Away PPG | 88.6 |
| 90.8 | Away PA | 82.6 |
| 1136-1099 | Opponent Record | 1086-1097 |
| 7.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 8.2 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Dallas
Minnesota
| Oct 2 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L73-77 | Sep 29 | at New York (29-21) | L71-87 |
| Sep 30 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W108-100 | Sep 27 | vs New York (29-21) | L75-91 |
| Sep 27 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L80-104 | Sep 24 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | W86-66 |
| Sep 23 | at Seattle (8-36) | W103-91 | Sep 22 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | L77-96 |
| Sep 21 | at Phoenix (16-28) | L86-87 | Sep 20 | at Connecticut (11-33) | W101-89 |
| Sep 19 | vs Phoenix (16-28) | W87-82 | Sep 18 | vs New York (29-21) | L81-93 |
| Sep 17 | vs Los Angeles (16-28) | W97-77 | Aug 30 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L81-89 |
| Aug 30 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W97-71 | Aug 24 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L66-80 |
| Aug 25 | vs Portland (17-27) | W96-78 | Aug 21 | at Washington (28-18) | W94-84 |
| Aug 23 | vs Seattle (8-36) | W92-70 | Aug 19 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | W77-66 |