Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Dallas
Golden State
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
82
B-
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
88
B+
6099
|
Offensive |
63
D-
6099
|
|
Dallas
6099
Golden State
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Dallas
6099
Golden State
6099
|
||
|
85
B
|
SoS (Current) |
96
A
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
96
A
|
Dallas
Golden State
| 7 | Overall | 1 |
| 7 | Power | 2 |
| 5 | Offensive | 14 |
| 7 | Defensive | 1 |
| 6 | SoS (Current) | 2 |
| 6 | SoS (Full Season) | 2 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Golden State 54%, Dallas 46% at Dallas.
Golden State's win probability against Dallas has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Golden State's win probability against Dallas has held at 59% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Golden State's win probability against Dallas has held at 64% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Dallas | Neutral | At Golden State |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 61% | 66% | 70% |
| Wk 1 | 61% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 2 | 45% | 50% | 55% |
| Wk 3 | 42% | 47% | 52% |
| Wk 4 | 39% | 44% | 49% |
| Wk 5 | 37% | 42% | 47% |
| Wk 6 | 43% | 48% | 53% |
| Wk 7 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 8 | 52% | 57% | 62% |
| Wk 9 | 50% | 55% | 60% |
| Wk 10 | 52% | 57% | 61% |
| Wk 11 | 51% | 56% | 61% |
| Wk 12 | 51% | 56% | 61% |
| Wk 13 | 55% | 60% | 64% |
| Wk 14 | 57% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 15 | 55% | 60% | 65% |
| Wk 16 | 56% | 61% | 66% |
| Wk 17 | 55% | 60% | 65% |
| Wk 18 | 55% | 60% | 64% |
| Wk 19 | 54% | 59% | 64% |
| Wk 20 | 53% | 58% | 62% |
| Wk 21 | 54% | 59% | 64% |
| Wk 22 | 55% | 60% | 65% |
| Wk 23 | 56% | 60% | 65% |
| Wk 24 | 53% | 58% | 63% |
| Wk 25 | 54% | 59% | 64% |
Dallas
Golden State
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Head to Head |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
28-19 (59.6%) |
Overall |
40-16 (71.4%) |
|
17-6 (73.9%) |
Home |
23-6 (79.3%) |
|
11-13 (45.8%) |
Away |
17-10 (63%) |
|
5-14 (26.3%) |
Versus Top 5 |
12-10 (54.5%) |
|
8-17 (32%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
22-12 (64.7%) |
|
20-2 (90.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-4 (81.8%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Dallas
Golden State
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #2 Atlanta |
| #10 Phoenix | Worst Loss | #12 Chicago |
| 30 pts vs #4 Las Vegas | Largest MOV | 27 pts vs #13 Connecticut |
| 24 pts vs #1 Golden State | Largest MOD | 26 pts vs #2 Atlanta |
Dallas
Golden State
| 89.2 | Points per Game | 81.1 |
| 85.8 | Points Against | 75.4 |
| 89.6 | Home PPG | 80.9 |
| 80.6 | Home PA | 73.6 |
| 88.9 | Away PPG | 81.3 |
| 90.8 | Away PA | 77.3 |
| 1136-1099 | Opponent Record | 1400-1264 |
| 7.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.4 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Dallas
Golden State
| Oct 2 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L73-77 | Oct 29 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L69-80 |
| Sep 30 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W108-100 | Oct 26 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W64-55 |
| Sep 27 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L80-104 | Oct 24 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W67-62 |
| Sep 23 | at Seattle (8-36) | W103-91 | Oct 21 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L71-97 |
| Sep 21 | at Phoenix (16-28) | L86-87 | Oct 19 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L65-79 |
| Sep 19 | vs Phoenix (16-28) | W87-82 | Oct 17 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | W68-64 |
| Sep 17 | vs Los Angeles (16-28) | W97-77 | Oct 9 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W87-77 |
| Aug 30 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W97-71 | Oct 7 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W83-81 |
| Aug 25 | vs Portland (17-27) | W96-78 | Oct 4 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W71-60 |
| Aug 23 | vs Seattle (8-36) | W92-70 | Oct 2 | vs Dallas (28-19) | W77-73 |