Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Connecticut
Dallas
|
66
D
|
Overall |
82
B-
|
|
60
D-
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
60
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Connecticut
6099
Dallas
6099
|
||
|
77
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
82
B-
6099
|
|
Connecticut
6099
Dallas
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
85
B
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
85
B
|
Connecticut
Dallas
| 13 | Overall | 7 |
| 15 | Power | 7 |
| 15 | Offensive | 5 |
| 9 | Defensive | 7 |
| 7 | SoS (Current) | 6 |
| 7 | SoS (Full Season) | 6 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Dallas 84%, Connecticut 16% at Dallas.
Dallas' win probability against Connecticut has held at 78% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Dallas' win probability against Connecticut has held at 81% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Dallas' win probability against Connecticut has held at 84% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Connecticut | Neutral | At Dallas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 1 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 2 | 94% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 3 | 95% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 4 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 5 | 91% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 6 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 7 | 79% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 8 | 77% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 9 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 10 | 73% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 11 | 76% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 12 | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Wk 13 | 74% | 78% | 81% |
| Wk 14 | 75% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 15 | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Wk 16 | 77% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 17 | 77% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 18 | 77% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 19 | 79% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 20 | 78% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 21 | 77% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 22 | 77% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 23 | 78% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 24 | 78% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 25 | 78% | 81% | 84% |
Connecticut
Dallas
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
11-33 (25%) |
Overall |
28-19 (59.6%) |
|
8-14 (36.4%) |
Home |
17-6 (73.9%) |
|
3-19 (13.6%) |
Away |
11-13 (45.8%) |
|
1-14 (6.7%) |
Versus Top 5 |
5-14 (26.3%) |
|
2-23 (8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-17 (32%) |
|
9-10 (47.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
20-2 (90.9%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Connecticut
Dallas
| #3 Minnesota | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #10 Phoenix |
| 29 pts vs #12 Chicago | Largest MOV | 30 pts vs #4 Las Vegas |
| 44 pts vs #2 Atlanta | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #1 Golden State |
Connecticut
Dallas
| 78.9 | Points per Game | 89.2 |
| 88.1 | Points Against | 85.8 |
| 80.8 | Home PPG | 89.6 |
| 85.3 | Home PA | 80.6 |
| 76.9 | Away PPG | 88.9 |
| 90.8 | Away PA | 90.8 |
| 1070-1006 | Opponent Record | 1136-1099 |
| 7.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.7 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Connecticut
Dallas
| Sep 24 | vs Toronto (11-33) | W95-81 | Oct 2 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L73-77 |
| Sep 22 | at Washington (28-18) | L69-79 | Sep 30 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W108-100 |
| Sep 20 | vs #3 Minnesota (33-13) | L89-101 | Sep 27 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L80-104 |
| Sep 17 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L59-103 | Sep 23 | at Seattle (8-36) | W103-91 |
| Aug 30 | at Dallas (28-19) | L71-97 | Sep 21 | at Phoenix (16-28) | L86-87 |
| Aug 28 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | L91-111 | Sep 19 | vs Phoenix (16-28) | W87-82 |
| Aug 26 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L64-89 | Sep 17 | vs Los Angeles (16-28) | W97-77 |
| Aug 25 | vs Chicago (16-28) | W87-81 | Aug 30 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W97-71 |
| Aug 22 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L68-77 | Aug 25 | vs Portland (17-27) | W96-78 |
| Aug 20 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L78-101 | Aug 23 | vs Seattle (8-36) | W92-70 |