Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Connecticut
Washington
|
66
D
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
60
D-
|
Power |
80
B-
|
|
60
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
68
D+
6099
|
|
Connecticut
6099
Washington
6099
|
||
|
77
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
93
A-
6099
|
|
Connecticut
6099
Washington
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
63
D-
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
63
D-
|
Connecticut
Washington
| 13 | Overall | 6 |
| 15 | Power | 8 |
| 15 | Offensive | 12 |
| 9 | Defensive | 3 |
| 7 | SoS (Current) | 14 |
| 7 | SoS (Full Season) | 14 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Washington 71%, Connecticut 29% at Connecticut.
Washington's win probability against Connecticut has held at 71% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Washington's win probability against Connecticut has held at 75% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Washington's win probability against Connecticut has held at 79% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Connecticut | Neutral | At Washington |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 64% | 69% | 73% |
| Wk 1 | 86% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 2 | 80% | 84% | 86% |
| Wk 3 | 79% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 4 | 77% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 5 | 69% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 6 | 66% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 7 | 60% | 65% | 69% |
| Wk 8 | 60% | 65% | 69% |
| Wk 9 | 56% | 60% | 65% |
| Wk 10 | 52% | 57% | 62% |
| Wk 11 | 60% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 12 | 62% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 13 | 64% | 68% | 72% |
| Wk 14 | 67% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 15 | 67% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 16 | 68% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 17 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 18 | 68% | 72% | 76% |
| Wk 19 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 20 | 72% | 76% | 79% |
| Wk 21 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 22 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 23 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 24 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 25 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
Connecticut
Washington
|
1-3 (25%) |
Head to Head |
3-1 (75%) |
|
11-33 (25%) |
Overall |
28-18 (60.9%) |
|
8-14 (36.4%) |
Home |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
3-19 (13.6%) |
Away |
13-10 (56.5%) |
|
1-14 (6.7%) |
Versus Top 5 |
7-10 (41.2%) |
|
2-23 (8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-13 (43.5%) |
|
9-10 (47.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-5 (78.3%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Connecticut
Washington
| #3 Minnesota | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #15 Seattle |
| 29 pts vs #12 Chicago | Largest MOV | 30 pts vs #12 Chicago |
| 44 pts vs #2 Atlanta | Largest MOD | 32 pts vs #2 Atlanta |
Connecticut
Washington
| 78.9 | Points per Game | 83.7 |
| 88.1 | Points Against | 83.2 |
| 80.8 | Home PPG | 85.1 |
| 85.3 | Home PA | 83.4 |
| 76.9 | Away PPG | 82.2 |
| 90.8 | Away PA | 82.9 |
| 1070-1006 | Opponent Record | 1073-1105 |
| 7.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 8.1 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Connecticut
Washington
| Sep 24 | vs Toronto (11-33) | W95-81 | Sep 30 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L75-93 |
| Sep 22 | at Washington (28-18) | L69-79 | Sep 27 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L77-92 |
| Sep 20 | vs #3 Minnesota (33-13) | L89-101 | Sep 24 | vs Chicago (16-28) | W101-93 |
| Sep 17 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L59-103 | Sep 22 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W79-69 |
| Aug 30 | at Dallas (28-19) | L71-97 | Sep 20 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | W93-77 |
| Aug 28 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | L91-111 | Sep 17 | at Chicago (16-28) | W110-80 |
| Aug 26 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L64-89 | Aug 28 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L82-88 |
| Aug 25 | vs Chicago (16-28) | W87-81 | Aug 27 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W80-73 |
| Aug 22 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L68-77 | Aug 25 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W94-84 |
| Aug 20 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L78-101 | Aug 23 | at Portland (17-27) | W105-100 |