Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Connecticut
Minnesota
|
66
D
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
60
D-
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
60
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Connecticut
6099
Minnesota
6099
|
||
|
77
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Connecticut
6099
Minnesota
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
60
D-
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
Connecticut
Minnesota
| 13 | Overall | 3 |
| 15 | Power | 3 |
| 15 | Offensive | 4 |
| 9 | Defensive | 4 |
| 7 | SoS (Current) | 15 |
| 7 | SoS (Full Season) | 15 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Minnesota 83%, Connecticut 17% at Connecticut.
Minnesota's win probability against Connecticut has held at 83% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Minnesota's win probability against Connecticut has held at 86% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Minnesota's win probability against Connecticut has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Connecticut | Neutral | At Minnesota |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 86% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 1 | 95% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 2 | 96% | 97% | 97% |
| Wk 3 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 4 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 5 | 96% | 97% | 97% |
| Wk 6 | 96% | 97% | 97% |
| Wk 7 | 91% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 8 | 88% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 9 | 84% | 87% | 89% |
| Wk 10 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 11 | 82% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 12 | 84% | 87% | 89% |
| Wk 13 | 83% | 86% | 88% |
| Wk 14 | 85% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 15 | 85% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 16 | 85% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 17 | 83% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 18 | 83% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 19 | 84% | 87% | 89% |
| Wk 20 | 83% | 86% | 88% |
| Wk 21 | 81% | 85% | 87% |
| Wk 22 | 82% | 85% | 87% |
| Wk 23 | 83% | 86% | 88% |
| Wk 24 | 83% | 86% | 88% |
| Wk 25 | 83% | 86% | 88% |
Connecticut
Minnesota
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
11-33 (25%) |
Overall |
33-13 (71.7%) |
|
8-14 (36.4%) |
Home |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
3-19 (13.6%) |
Away |
18-5 (78.3%) |
|
1-14 (6.7%) |
Versus Top 5 |
8-5 (61.5%) |
|
2-23 (8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-10 (60%) |
|
9-10 (47.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-3 (85.7%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Connecticut
Minnesota
| #3 Minnesota | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #13 Connecticut |
| 29 pts vs #12 Chicago | Largest MOV | 34 pts vs #10 Phoenix |
| 44 pts vs #2 Atlanta | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #5 Indiana |
Connecticut
Minnesota
| 78.9 | Points per Game | 90.1 |
| 88.1 | Points Against | 83.9 |
| 80.8 | Home PPG | 91.5 |
| 85.3 | Home PA | 85.2 |
| 76.9 | Away PPG | 88.6 |
| 90.8 | Away PA | 82.6 |
| 1070-1006 | Opponent Record | 1086-1097 |
| 7.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 8.2 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Connecticut
Minnesota
| Sep 24 | vs Toronto (11-33) | W95-81 | Sep 29 | at New York (29-21) | L71-87 |
| Sep 22 | at Washington (28-18) | L69-79 | Sep 27 | vs New York (29-21) | L75-91 |
| Sep 20 | vs #3 Minnesota (33-13) | L89-101 | Sep 24 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | W86-66 |
| Sep 17 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L59-103 | Sep 22 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | L77-96 |
| Aug 30 | at Dallas (28-19) | L71-97 | Sep 20 | at Connecticut (11-33) | W101-89 |
| Aug 28 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | L91-111 | Sep 18 | vs New York (29-21) | L81-93 |
| Aug 26 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L64-89 | Aug 30 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L81-89 |
| Aug 25 | vs Chicago (16-28) | W87-81 | Aug 24 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L66-80 |
| Aug 22 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L68-77 | Aug 21 | at Washington (28-18) | W94-84 |
| Aug 20 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L78-101 | Aug 19 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | W77-66 |