Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Connecticut
Indiana
|
66
D
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
60
D-
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
60
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Connecticut
6099
Indiana
6099
|
||
|
77
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
71
C-
6099
|
|
Connecticut
6099
Indiana
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
74
C
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
74
C
|
Connecticut
Indiana
| 13 | Overall | 5 |
| 15 | Power | 5 |
| 15 | Offensive | 1 |
| 9 | Defensive | 11 |
| 7 | SoS (Current) | 10 |
| 7 | SoS (Full Season) | 10 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Indiana 81%, Connecticut 19% at Connecticut.
Indiana's win probability against Connecticut has held at 81% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Connecticut has held at 84% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Connecticut has held at 87% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Connecticut | Neutral | At Indiana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 84% | 87% | 89% |
| Wk 1 | 88% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 2 | 92% | 94% | 95% |
| Wk 3 | 94% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 4 | 89% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 5 | 83% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 6 | 84% | 87% | 89% |
| Wk 7 | 74% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 8 | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Wk 9 | 72% | 76% | 79% |
| Wk 10 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 11 | 79% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 12 | 79% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 13 | 79% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 14 | 82% | 85% | 87% |
| Wk 15 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 16 | 82% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 17 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 18 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 19 | 82% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 20 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 21 | 80% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 22 | 80% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 23 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 24 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 25 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
Connecticut
Indiana
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
11-33 (25%) |
Overall |
29-18 (61.7%) |
|
8-14 (36.4%) |
Home |
16-7 (69.6%) |
|
3-19 (13.6%) |
Away |
13-11 (54.2%) |
|
1-14 (6.7%) |
Versus Top 5 |
7-9 (43.8%) |
|
2-23 (8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
11-15 (42.3%) |
|
9-10 (47.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-3 (85.7%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Connecticut
Indiana
| #3 Minnesota | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #11 Los Angeles |
| 29 pts vs #12 Chicago | Largest MOV | 35 pts vs #13 Connecticut |
| 44 pts vs #2 Atlanta | Largest MOD | 20 pts vs #3 Minnesota |
Connecticut
Indiana
| 78.9 | Points per Game | 95.5 |
| 88.1 | Points Against | 90.7 |
| 80.8 | Home PPG | 99.1 |
| 85.3 | Home PA | 90.5 |
| 76.9 | Away PPG | 92.1 |
| 90.8 | Away PA | 91 |
| 1070-1006 | Opponent Record | 1138-1097 |
| 7.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.8 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Connecticut
Indiana
| Sep 24 | vs Toronto (11-33) | W95-81 | Oct 1 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L83-94 |
| Sep 22 | at Washington (28-18) | L69-79 | Sep 29 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W99-89 |
| Sep 20 | vs #3 Minnesota (33-13) | L89-101 | Sep 27 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L85-102 |
| Sep 17 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L59-103 | Sep 24 | at #3 Minnesota (33-13) | L66-86 |
| Aug 30 | at Dallas (28-19) | L71-97 | Sep 22 | vs #3 Minnesota (33-13) | W96-77 |
| Aug 28 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | L91-111 | Sep 20 | vs Washington (28-18) | L77-93 |
| Aug 26 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L64-89 | Sep 18 | at Toronto (11-33) | W103-85 |
| Aug 25 | vs Chicago (16-28) | W87-81 | Aug 28 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W111-91 |
| Aug 22 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L68-77 | Aug 23 | at Chicago (16-28) | W113-90 |
| Aug 20 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L78-101 | Aug 22 | at New York (29-21) | L102-109 |