Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Connecticut
Atlanta
|
66
D
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
60
D-
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
60
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
93
A-
6099
|
|
Connecticut
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
77
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
Connecticut
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
Connecticut
Atlanta
| 13 | Overall | 2 |
| 15 | Power | 1 |
| 15 | Offensive | 3 |
| 9 | Defensive | 2 |
| 7 | SoS (Current) | 5 |
| 7 | SoS (Full Season) | 5 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Atlanta 86%, Connecticut 14% at Connecticut.
Atlanta's win probability against Connecticut is trending up — from 82% to 86% over the last 6 weeks.
Atlanta's win probability against Connecticut is trending up — from 85% to 88% over the last 6 weeks.
Atlanta's win probability against Connecticut has held at 90% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Connecticut | Neutral | At Atlanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 88% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 1 | 95% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 2 | 97% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 3 | 96% | 97% | 97% |
| Wk 4 | 92% | 94% | 95% |
| Wk 5 | 90% | 92% | 93% |
| Wk 6 | 91% | 93% | 94% |
| Wk 7 | 84% | 87% | 89% |
| Wk 8 | 79% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 9 | 76% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 10 | 73% | 77% | 80% |
| Wk 11 | 76% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 12 | 76% | 80% | 83% |
| Wk 13 | 74% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 14 | 79% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 15 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 16 | 80% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 17 | 79% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 18 | 79% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 19 | 82% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 20 | 83% | 86% | 88% |
| Wk 21 | 84% | 87% | 89% |
| Wk 22 | 84% | 87% | 89% |
| Wk 23 | 85% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 24 | 86% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 25 | 86% | 88% | 90% |
Connecticut
Atlanta
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
11-33 (25%) |
Overall |
38-17 (69.1%) |
|
8-14 (36.4%) |
Home |
20-8 (71.4%) |
|
3-19 (13.6%) |
Away |
18-9 (66.7%) |
|
1-14 (6.7%) |
Versus Top 5 |
8-11 (42.1%) |
|
2-23 (8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
19-14 (57.6%) |
|
9-10 (47.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
19-3 (86.4%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Connecticut
Atlanta
| #3 Minnesota | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #15 Seattle |
| 29 pts vs #12 Chicago | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #13 Connecticut |
| 44 pts vs #2 Atlanta | Largest MOD | 22 pts vs #4 Las Vegas |
Connecticut
Atlanta
| 78.9 | Points per Game | 89.4 |
| 88.1 | Points Against | 82.5 |
| 80.8 | Home PPG | 92.5 |
| 85.3 | Home PA | 85 |
| 76.9 | Away PPG | 86.2 |
| 90.8 | Away PA | 79.9 |
| 1070-1006 | Opponent Record | 1368-1254 |
| 7.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.5 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
Connecticut
Atlanta
| Sep 24 | vs Toronto (11-33) | W95-81 | Oct 29 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W80-69 |
| Sep 22 | at Washington (28-18) | L69-79 | Oct 26 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L55-64 |
| Sep 20 | vs #3 Minnesota (33-13) | L89-101 | Oct 24 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L62-67 |
| Sep 17 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L59-103 | Oct 21 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W97-71 |
| Aug 30 | at Dallas (28-19) | L71-97 | Oct 19 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | W79-65 |
| Aug 28 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | L91-111 | Oct 17 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L64-68 |
| Aug 26 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L64-89 | Oct 9 | at New York (29-21) | W85-83 |
| Aug 25 | vs Chicago (16-28) | W87-81 | Oct 7 | vs New York (29-21) | W101-98 |
| Aug 22 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L68-77 | Oct 4 | vs New York (29-21) | W92-82 |
| Aug 20 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L78-101 | Sep 30 | at Washington (28-18) | W93-75 |