Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Chicago
Indiana
|
68
D+
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
74
C
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
80
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Chicago
6099
Indiana
6099
|
||
|
68
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
71
C-
6099
|
|
Chicago
6099
Indiana
6099
|
||
|
71
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
74
C
|
|
71
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
74
C
|
Chicago
Indiana
| 12 | Overall | 5 |
| 10 | Power | 5 |
| 8 | Offensive | 1 |
| 12 | Defensive | 11 |
| 11 | SoS (Current) | 10 |
| 11 | SoS (Full Season) | 10 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Indiana 70%, Chicago 30% at Chicago.
Indiana's win probability against Chicago has held at 70% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Chicago has held at 74% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Chicago has held at 78% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Chicago | Neutral | At Indiana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 79% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 1 | 35% | 39% | 44% |
| Wk 2 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 3 | 57% | 62% | 66% |
| Wk 4 | 61% | 66% | 70% |
| Wk 5 | 62% | 67% | 71% |
| Wk 6 | 64% | 69% | 73% |
| Wk 7 | 59% | 63% | 68% |
| Wk 8 | 62% | 67% | 71% |
| Wk 9 | 62% | 67% | 71% |
| Wk 10 | 62% | 67% | 71% |
| Wk 11 | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 12 | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 13 | 66% | 70% | 74% |
| Wk 14 | 69% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 15 | 66% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 16 | 69% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 17 | 69% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 18 | 69% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 19 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 20 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 21 | 69% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 22 | 69% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 23 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 24 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 25 | 70% | 74% | 78% |
Chicago
Indiana
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
16-28 (36.4%) |
Overall |
29-18 (61.7%) |
|
11-11 (50%) |
Home |
16-7 (69.6%) |
|
5-17 (22.7%) |
Away |
13-11 (54.2%) |
|
4-11 (26.7%) |
Versus Top 5 |
7-9 (43.8%) |
|
5-20 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
11-15 (42.3%) |
|
11-8 (57.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-3 (85.7%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Chicago
Indiana
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #11 Los Angeles |
| 30 pts vs #9 Portland | Largest MOV | 35 pts vs #13 Connecticut |
| 30 pts vs #6 Washington | Largest MOD | 20 pts vs #3 Minnesota |
Chicago
Indiana
| 86.8 | Points per Game | 95.5 |
| 90.7 | Points Against | 90.7 |
| 90.4 | Home PPG | 99.1 |
| 91 | Home PA | 90.5 |
| 83.1 | Away PPG | 92.1 |
| 90.3 | Away PA | 91 |
| 1051-1029 | Opponent Record | 1138-1097 |
| 7.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.8 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Chicago
Indiana
| Sep 24 | at Washington (28-18) | L93-101 | Oct 1 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L83-94 |
| Sep 22 | vs Toronto (11-33) | W97-85 | Sep 29 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W99-89 |
| Sep 19 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L81-106 | Sep 27 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L85-102 |
| Sep 17 | vs Washington (28-18) | L80-110 | Sep 24 | at #3 Minnesota (33-13) | L66-86 |
| Aug 29 | at New York (29-21) | L66-85 | Sep 22 | vs #3 Minnesota (33-13) | W96-77 |
| Aug 25 | at Connecticut (11-33) | L81-87 | Sep 20 | vs Washington (28-18) | L77-93 |
| Aug 23 | vs #5 Indiana (29-18) | L90-113 | Sep 18 | at Toronto (11-33) | W103-85 |
| Aug 21 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W73-70 | Aug 28 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W111-91 |
| Aug 18 | vs New York (29-21) | W93-86 | Aug 23 | at Chicago (16-28) | W113-90 |
| Aug 16 | at Seattle (8-36) | W82-80 | Aug 22 | at New York (29-21) | L102-109 |