Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Washington
Atlanta
|
85
B
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
80
B-
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
68
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
93
A-
6099
|
|
Washington
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
93
A-
6099
|
Defensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
Washington
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
Washington
Atlanta
| 6 | Overall | 2 |
| 8 | Power | 1 |
| 12 | Offensive | 3 |
| 3 | Defensive | 2 |
| 14 | SoS (Current) | 5 |
| 14 | SoS (Full Season) | 5 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Atlanta 74%, Washington 26% at Atlanta.
Atlanta's win probability against Washington is trending up — from 59% to 66% over the last 6 weeks.
Atlanta's win probability against Washington is trending up — from 64% to 70% over the last 6 weeks.
Atlanta's win probability against Washington is trending up — from 69% to 74% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Washington | Neutral | At Atlanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Wk 1 | 71% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 2 | 83% | 86% | 88% |
| Wk 3 | 81% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 4 | 72% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 5 | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Wk 6 | 80% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 7 | 74% | 78% | 81% |
| Wk 8 | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 9 | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 10 | 66% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 11 | 63% | 68% | 72% |
| Wk 12 | 62% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 13 | 57% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 14 | 59% | 64% | 68% |
| Wk 15 | 62% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 16 | 59% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 17 | 59% | 64% | 68% |
| Wk 18 | 59% | 64% | 68% |
| Wk 19 | 59% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 20 | 60% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 21 | 63% | 68% | 72% |
| Wk 22 | 63% | 68% | 72% |
| Wk 23 | 64% | 69% | 73% |
| Wk 24 | 66% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 25 | 66% | 70% | 74% |
Washington
Atlanta
|
2-3 (40%) |
Head to Head |
3-2 (60%) |
|
28-18 (60.9%) |
Overall |
38-17 (69.1%) |
|
15-8 (65.2%) |
Home |
20-8 (71.4%) |
|
13-10 (56.5%) |
Away |
18-9 (66.7%) |
|
7-10 (41.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
8-11 (42.1%) |
|
10-13 (43.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
19-14 (57.6%) |
|
18-5 (78.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
19-3 (86.4%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Washington
Atlanta
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #15 Seattle | Worst Loss | #15 Seattle |
| 30 pts vs #12 Chicago | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #13 Connecticut |
| 32 pts vs #2 Atlanta | Largest MOD | 22 pts vs #4 Las Vegas |
Washington
Atlanta
| 83.7 | Points per Game | 89.4 |
| 83.2 | Points Against | 82.5 |
| 85.1 | Home PPG | 92.5 |
| 83.4 | Home PA | 85 |
| 82.2 | Away PPG | 86.2 |
| 82.9 | Away PA | 79.9 |
| 1073-1105 | Opponent Record | 1368-1254 |
| 8.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.5 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 1 |
Washington
Atlanta
| Sep 30 | vs #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L75-93 | Oct 29 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W80-69 |
| Sep 27 | at #2 Atlanta (38-17) | L77-92 | Oct 26 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L55-64 |
| Sep 24 | vs Chicago (16-28) | W101-93 | Oct 24 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L62-67 |
| Sep 22 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W79-69 | Oct 21 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W97-71 |
| Sep 20 | at #5 Indiana (29-18) | W93-77 | Oct 19 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | W79-65 |
| Sep 17 | at Chicago (16-28) | W110-80 | Oct 17 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L64-68 |
| Aug 28 | at Los Angeles (16-28) | L82-88 | Oct 9 | at New York (29-21) | W85-83 |
| Aug 27 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W80-73 | Oct 7 | vs New York (29-21) | W101-98 |
| Aug 25 | at Phoenix (16-28) | W94-84 | Oct 4 | vs New York (29-21) | W92-82 |
| Aug 23 | at Portland (17-27) | W105-100 | Sep 30 | at Washington (28-18) | W93-75 |