Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Indiana
Atlanta
|
88
B+
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
88
B+
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
99
A+
6099
|
Offensive |
93
A-
6099
|
|
Indiana
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
71
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
Indiana
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
74
C
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
74
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
Indiana
Atlanta
| 5 | Overall | 2 |
| 5 | Power | 1 |
| 1 | Offensive | 3 |
| 11 | Defensive | 2 |
| 10 | SoS (Current) | 5 |
| 10 | SoS (Full Season) | 5 |
Wk 25 (Oct 30), 2026: Atlanta 63%, Indiana 37% at Atlanta.
Atlanta's win probability against Indiana is trending up — from 45% to 53% over the last 6 weeks.
Atlanta's win probability against Indiana is trending up — from 50% to 58% over the last 6 weeks.
Atlanta's win probability against Indiana is trending up — from 55% to 63% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Indiana | Neutral | At Atlanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 51% | 56% | 61% |
| Wk 1 | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Wk 2 | 64% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 3 | 56% | 61% | 66% |
| Wk 4 | 53% | 58% | 63% |
| Wk 5 | 58% | 63% | 67% |
| Wk 6 | 59% | 64% | 68% |
| Wk 7 | 60% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 8 | 50% | 55% | 60% |
| Wk 9 | 50% | 55% | 60% |
| Wk 10 | 47% | 52% | 57% |
| Wk 11 | 41% | 46% | 51% |
| Wk 12 | 41% | 46% | 51% |
| Wk 13 | 39% | 44% | 49% |
| Wk 14 | 40% | 45% | 50% |
| Wk 15 | 45% | 50% | 55% |
| Wk 16 | 42% | 47% | 52% |
| Wk 17 | 43% | 48% | 53% |
| Wk 18 | 43% | 48% | 53% |
| Wk 19 | 45% | 50% | 55% |
| Wk 20 | 49% | 54% | 59% |
| Wk 21 | 51% | 56% | 61% |
| Wk 22 | 52% | 57% | 61% |
| Wk 23 | 52% | 57% | 62% |
| Wk 24 | 54% | 59% | 63% |
| Wk 25 | 53% | 58% | 63% |
Indiana
Atlanta
|
2-2 (50%) |
Head to Head |
2-2 (50%) |
|
29-18 (61.7%) |
Overall |
38-17 (69.1%) |
|
16-7 (69.6%) |
Home |
20-8 (71.4%) |
|
13-11 (54.2%) |
Away |
18-9 (66.7%) |
|
7-9 (43.8%) |
Versus Top 5 |
8-11 (42.1%) |
|
11-15 (42.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
19-14 (57.6%) |
|
18-3 (85.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
19-3 (86.4%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Indiana
Atlanta
| #1 Golden State | Best Win | #1 Golden State |
| #11 Los Angeles | Worst Loss | #15 Seattle |
| 35 pts vs #13 Connecticut | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #13 Connecticut |
| 20 pts vs #3 Minnesota | Largest MOD | 22 pts vs #4 Las Vegas |
Indiana
Atlanta
| 95.5 | Points per Game | 89.4 |
| 90.7 | Points Against | 82.5 |
| 99.1 | Home PPG | 92.5 |
| 90.5 | Home PA | 85 |
| 92.1 | Away PPG | 86.2 |
| 91 | Away PA | 79.9 |
| 1138-1097 | Opponent Record | 1368-1254 |
| 7.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 7.5 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
Indiana
Atlanta
| Oct 1 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L83-94 | Oct 29 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W80-69 |
| Sep 29 | vs #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | W99-89 | Oct 26 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L55-64 |
| Sep 27 | at #4 Las Vegas (33-18) | L85-102 | Oct 24 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | L62-67 |
| Sep 24 | at #3 Minnesota (33-13) | L66-86 | Oct 21 | vs #1 Golden State (40-16) | W97-71 |
| Sep 22 | vs #3 Minnesota (33-13) | W96-77 | Oct 19 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | W79-65 |
| Sep 20 | vs Washington (28-18) | L77-93 | Oct 17 | at #1 Golden State (40-16) | L64-68 |
| Sep 18 | at Toronto (11-33) | W103-85 | Oct 9 | at New York (29-21) | W85-83 |
| Aug 28 | vs Connecticut (11-33) | W111-91 | Oct 7 | vs New York (29-21) | W101-98 |
| Aug 23 | at Chicago (16-28) | W113-90 | Oct 4 | vs New York (29-21) | W92-82 |
| Aug 22 | at New York (29-21) | L102-109 | Sep 30 | at Washington (28-18) | W93-75 |