South Dakota at Valparaiso Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
South Dakota by 25.44
TOTAL POINTS
129
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Valparaiso
South Dakota 
|
61
D-
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
61
D-
|
Power |
86
B
|
|
63
D-
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
61
D-
|
Defensive |
88
B+
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
73
C-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Valparaiso
South Dakota
| 356 | Overall | 106 |
| 355 | Power | 123 |
| 337 | Offensive | 167 |
| 351 | Defensive | 103 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 147 | SoS (Full Season) | 242 |
South Dakota#10695%
Valparaiso#3565%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: South Dakota 95%, Valparaiso 5% at Valparaiso.
South Dakota's win probability against Valparaiso has held at 95% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
South Dakota's win probability against Valparaiso has held at 96% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
South Dakota's win probability against Valparaiso has held at 97% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
South Dakota favored
Valparaiso favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Valparaiso | Neutral | At South Dakota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 95% | 97% | 97% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 97% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 97% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 95% | 96% | 97% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Valparaiso
South Dakota
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
0-32 (0%) |
Overall |
23-10 (69.7%) |
|
0-13 (0%) |
Home |
12-4 (75%) |
|
0-16 (0%) |
Away |
9-5 (64.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-16 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-7 (50%) |
|
0-16 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
16-3 (84.2%) |
|
0-10 (0%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Valparaiso
South Dakota
| None | Best Win | #40 S Dakota St |
| #315 WI Milwaukee | Worst Loss | #246 Wyoming |
| None | Largest MOV | 41 pts vs #355 Valparaiso |
| 50 pts vs #133 C Michigan | Largest MOD | 33 pts vs #40 S Dakota St |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Valparaiso
South Dakota
| 55.6 | Points per Game | 67.4 |
| 81.5 | Points Against | 60.2 |
| 57 | Home PPG | 69.9 |
| 80 | Home PA | 58.8 |
| 54.1 | Away PPG | 65.4 |
| 83.3 | Away PA | 62.7 |
| 506-523 | Opponent Record | 471-544 |
| 191.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 199.8 |
| L 32 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 32 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Valparaiso
South Dakota
| Mar 12 | Drake (12-20) | L55-81 | Apr 1 | vs Illinois St (24-15) | L60-67 |
| Mar 7 | vs Murray St (30-4) | L68-100 | Mar 29 | vs Montana St (25-8) | W65-56 |
| Mar 5 | vs Belmont (20-12) | L63-83 | Mar 26 | vs Pepperdine (19-13) | W73-57 |
| Feb 28 | vs Illinois St (24-15) | L42-83 | Mar 22 | vs N Colorado (20-11) | W80-60 |
| Feb 26 | at Northern Iowa (18-14) | L54-92 | Mar 7 | S Dakota St (27-7) | L59-74 |
| Feb 19 | at Drake (12-20) | L68-79 | Mar 6 | Denver (8-19) | W61-50 |
| Feb 15 | at Belmont (20-12) | L37-77 | Feb 28 | at S Dakota St (27-7) | L49-82 |
| Feb 13 | at Murray St (30-4) | L69-95 | Feb 25 | at North Dakota (4-24) | W80-66 |
| Feb 7 | vs S Illinois (8-20) | L73-82 | Feb 21 | vs N Dakota St (27-5) | L68-81 |
| Feb 5 | vs Evansville (10-25) | L59-83 | Feb 19 | vs NE Omaha (4-27) | W69-66 |